CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kamari Moulton RB

Iowa vs Minnesota · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

95.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 103.8
Graph avg: 96.2
Graph median: 88.527–208
Over the close: 60%6/10

2026 per game

Carries15.2▼-0.3

Rush Yds103.8▲+24.0

Rush TD0.8▲+0.3

Rec1.8▲+0.3

Rec Yds6.2▼-2.6

95.5

2025

87

Nov 08
90

Nov 15
78

Nov 22
93

Nov 28
95

Dec 31
2026

183

Sep 05
57

Sep 12
44

Sep 26
27

Oct 03
208

Oct 09
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 95.5

Home 22% 2/9 · avg 78.1
Away 29% 2/7 · avg 99.1
vs Minnesota 0% 0/1 · avg 75.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 75.5 70% 7/10
O 85.5 60% 6/10
O 95.5 Today 20% 2/10
O 105.5 20% 2/10
O 115.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Minnesota

What Minnesota allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds124.4#112
Yds/Carry5.1#94
Rush TD1.4#76
Carries24.2#137
Rec Yds12.9#180

RBs vs Minnesota · 2026

Each main RB who faced Minnesota this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+16.1

Avg diff %+26%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Fame Ijeboi	195	62.2	+214%
Oct 03	Jordan Marshall	50	48.6	+3%
Sep 26	Brian Bonner Jr.	23	54.6	-58%
Sep 19	Jordan Gant	11	73.5	-85%
Sep 12	Fluff Bothwell	113	72.5	+56%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 95.5	Close
2026-10-09	6	@ Washington	208	Over	69.5
2026-10-03	5	vs Ohio State	27	Under	56.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Michigan	44	Under	59.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Iowa State	57	Under	99.5
2026-09-05	1	vs Northern Illinois	183	Over	77.5
2025-12-31	1 (P)	@ Vanderbilt	95	Under	83.5
2025-11-28	14	@ Nebraska	93	Under	86.5
2025-11-22	13	vs Michigan State	78	Under	98.5
2025-11-15	12	@ USC	90	Under	82.5
2025-11-08	11	vs Oregon	87	Under	63.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 95.5Underdog 95.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 19m ago.