CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Camden Coleman QB

James Madison vs Appalachian State · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

224.5 Pass Yds O -130U —

Hit rate · Last 10 43%3/7 Odds imply —

Season avg: 190.9
Graph avg: 190.9
Graph median: 185.057–263
Over the close: 50%1/2

2026 per game

Pass Yds190.9

Att24.9

Cmp%63.2%

Pass TD1.9

INT0.1

Rush Yds15.1

224.5

2026

57

Sep 05
171

Sep 12
246

Sep 19
243

Sep 26
263

Oct 03
171

Oct 10
185

Oct 17
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 224.5

Home 25% 1/4 · avg 169.0
Away 67% 2/3 · avg 220.0
vs Appalachian State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 204.5 43% 3/7
O 214.5 43% 3/7
O 224.5 Today 43% 3/7
O 234.5 43% 3/7
O 244.5 29% 2/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Appalachian State

What Appalachian State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds255.3#27
Yds/Att7.8#75
Cmp%64.7%#80
Pass TD1.3#130
Pass Att32.6#31

QBs vs Appalachian State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Appalachian State this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+31.7

Avg diff %+16%

Beat their average75% (3/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 16	Deuce Bailey	298	223.3	+33%
Oct 10	Quinn Henicle	97	110.2	-12%
Sep 26	CJ Bailey	253	250.8	+1%
Sep 19	Cole Gonzales	211	147.8	+43%

Game log · 7 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 224.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Georgia State	185	Under	210.5
2026-10-10	6	@ Georgia Southern	171	Under	—
2026-10-03	5	vs Marshall	263	Over	229.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Old Dominion	243	Over	—
2026-09-19	3	@ San Diego State	246	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Wagner	171	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	vs Liberty	57	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 230.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 16m ago.