CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Javian Mallory RB

Miami vs Pittsburgh · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

49.5 Rush Yds O -190U —

Hit rate · Last 10 50%3/6 Odds imply —

Season avg: 66.2
Graph avg: 66.2
Graph median: 47.023–142
Over the close: 100%1/1

2026 per game

Carries8.7

Rush Yds66.2

Rush TD0.8

Rec0.5

Rec Yds5.3

49.5

2026

31

Sep 04
142

Sep 10
23

Sep 18
30

Sep 26
63

Oct 03
108

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 49.5

Home 67% 2/3 · avg 93.3
Away 33% 1/3 · avg 39.0
vs Pittsburgh No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 39.5 50% 3/6
O 44.5 50% 3/6
O 49.5 Today 50% 3/6
O 54.5 50% 3/6
O 59.5 50% 3/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Pittsburgh

What Pittsburgh allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds79.1#179
Yds/Carry3.3#183
Rush TD0.8#141
Carries24.2#136
Rec Yds20.1#144

RBs vs Pittsburgh · 2026

Each main RB who faced Pittsburgh this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-39.3

Avg diff %-53%

Beat their average17% (1/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Evan Dickens	57	47.2	+21%
Oct 10	Benjamin Hall	25	51.6	-52%
Oct 02	Jeffrey Overton Jr.	46	94.5	-51%
Sep 17	Shavane Anderson Jr.	26	60.0	-57%
Sep 12	Duke Watson	10	94.6	-89%
Sep 05	Rodney Nelson	5	57.2	-91%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 49.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Florida State	108	Over	39.5
2026-10-03	5	@ Clemson	63	Over	—
2026-09-26	4	vs Central Michigan	30	Under	—
2026-09-18	3	@ Wake Forest	23	Under	—
2026-09-10	2	vs Florida A&M	142	Over	—
2026-09-04	1	@ Stanford	31	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 51.5Underdog 51.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 17m ago.