CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Caden Piening WR

UCF vs BYU · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

24.5 Rec Yds O +105U —

Hit rate · Last 10 75%3/4 Odds imply —

Season avg: 31.5
Graph avg: 31.5
Graph median: 30.06–60

2026 per game

Rec3.0

Rec Yds31.5

Rec TD0.5

24.5

2026

30

Sep 03
30

Sep 26
6

Oct 03
60

Oct 10
?

Oct 24

Splits all logged games · over 24.5

Home 100% 2/2 · avg 30.0
Away 50% 1/2 · avg 33.0
vs BYU No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 14.5 75% 3/4
O 19.5 75% 3/4
O 24.5 Today 75% 3/4
O 29.5 75% 3/4
O 34.5 25% 1/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs BYU

What BYU allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds184.4#129
Receptions16.1#70
Yds/Rec11.5#158
Rec TD1.2#124

WRs vs BYU · 2026

Each main WR who faced BYU this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-19.6

Avg diff %-22%

Beat their average20% (2/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Jordan Faison	64	64.5	-1%
Oct 17	Micah Gilbert	31	63.0	-51%
Oct 09	Omari Hayes	18	38.0	-53%
Oct 09	Tyler Claiborne	31	18.0	+72%
Oct 03	Ed Small	32	92.4	-65%
Oct 03	Kari Ashley	108	56.8	+90%
Sep 19	Reginald Vick Jr	67	75.0	-11%
Sep 19	Jackson Harper	1	66.8	-99%
Sep 12	Tre Spivey	14	75.0	-81%
Sep 12	Gio Richardson	48	61.0	-21%

Game log · 4 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 24.5	Close
2026-10-10	6	@ Oklahoma State	60	Over	—
2026-10-03	5	@ Houston	6	Under	—
2026-09-26	4	vs TCU	30	Over	—
2026-09-03	1	vs Bethune-Cookman	30	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 21.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 19m ago.