CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Cooper Barkate WR

Miami vs Pittsburgh · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

49.5 Rec Yds O -140U —

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 44.8
Graph avg: 50.6
Graph median: 42.013–98
Over the close: 38%3/8

2026 per game

Rec3.5▼-1.6

Rec Yds44.8▼-34.2

Rec TD0.7▲+0.2

49.5

2025

26

Nov 22
83

Nov 29
91

Dec 06
37

Dec 31
2026

67

Sep 04
16

Sep 10
13

Sep 18
47

Sep 26
98

Oct 03
28

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 49.5

Home 50% 5/10 · avg 69.8
Away 80% 8/10 · avg 67.7
vs Pittsburgh No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 39.5 50% 5/10
O 44.5 50% 5/10
O 49.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 54.5 40% 4/10
O 59.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Pittsburgh

What Pittsburgh allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds235.1#29
Receptions17.0#47
Yds/Rec13.8#52
Rec TD1.8#50

WRs vs Pittsburgh · 2026

Each main WR who faced Pittsburgh this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-9.7

Avg diff %-15%

Beat their average42% (5/12)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	John Montague	54	50.0	+8%
Oct 17	Dawson Pough	22	39.5	-44%
Oct 10	Jordan Shipp	93	69.6	+34%
Oct 10	Jelani Thurman	29	57.0	-49%
Oct 02	Que'Sean Brown	147	78.2	+88%
Oct 02	Luke Reynolds	93	59.3	+57%
Sep 17	Umari Hatcher	58	145.2	-60%
Sep 17	Justus Ross-Simmons	25	36.2	-31%
Sep 12	Joshua Derry	9	59.0	-85%
Sep 12	Waden Charles	41	39.5	+4%
Sep 05	Maleek Huggins	23	57.2	-60%
Sep 05	Lynel Billups-Williams	31	51.0	-39%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 49.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Florida State	28	Under	56.5
2026-10-03	5	@ Clemson	98	Over	36.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Central Michigan	47	Under	54.5
2026-09-18	3	@ Wake Forest	13	Under	55.5
2026-09-10	2	vs Florida A&M	16	Under	—
2026-09-04	1	@ Stanford	67	Over	—
2025-12-31	1 (P)	vs Arizona State	37	Under	70.5
2025-12-06	15	@ Virginia	91	Over	66.5
2025-11-29	14	vs Wake Forest	83	Over	63.5
2025-11-22	13	@ North Carolina	26	Under	79.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 43.5Underdog 43.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 15m ago.