CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Cole Tabb RB

Cincinnati vs Texas Tech · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

53.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 74.7
Graph avg: 51.7
Graph median: 34.52–124
Over the close: 40%2/5

2026 per game

Carries8.2▼-2.2

Rush Yds74.7▲+34.2

Rush TD1.3▲+1.1

Rec2.0▲+1.6

Rec Yds22.3▲+20.3

53.5

2025

3

Nov 01
32

Nov 08
2

Nov 22
32

Nov 29
2026

37

Sep 05
72

Sep 12
78

Sep 19
124

Sep 26
19

Oct 03
118

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 53.5

Home 40% 4/10 · avg 54.5
Away 43% 3/7 · avg 49.7
vs Texas Tech No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 43.5 40% 4/10
O 48.5 40% 4/10
O 53.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 58.5 40% 4/10
O 63.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Texas Tech

What Texas Tech allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds66.1#183
Yds/Carry3.4#182
Rush TD0.3#182
Carries19.7#181
Rec Yds40.0#16

RBs vs Texas Tech · 2026

Each main RB who faced Texas Tech this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-36.5

Avg diff %-62%

Beat their average0% (0/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Kyson Brown	39	58.0	-33%
Oct 03	Jaquail Smith	1	51.6	-98%
Sep 26	Alton McCaskill	25	37.2	-33%
Sep 18	Re'Shaun Sanford II	30	68.3	-56%
Sep 12	AJ Newberry	8	70.5	-89%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 53.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	@ West Virginia	118	Over	57.5
2026-10-03	5	@ Arizona	19	Under	45.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Kansas State	124	Over	29.5
2026-09-19	3	vs Miami (OH)	78	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Western Carolina	72	Over	—
2026-09-05	1	vs Boston College	37	Under	—
2025-11-29	14	vs Notre Dame	32	Under	—
2025-11-22	13	vs California	2	Under	25.5
2025-11-08	11	@ North Carolina	32	Under	—
2025-11-01	10	vs Pittsburgh	3	Under	55.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 53.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 17m ago.