CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Evan James WR

Iowa vs Minnesota · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

13.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 50%2/4 Odds imply —

Season avg: 14.5
Graph avg: 14.5
Graph median: 10.03–35
Over the close: 0%0/1

2026 per game

Rec1.8

Rec Yds14.5

Rec TD0.0

13.5

2026

3

Sep 12
35

Sep 19
14

Sep 26
6

Oct 09
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 13.5

Home 50% 1/2 · avg 19.0
Away 50% 1/2 · avg 10.0
vs Minnesota No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 3.5 75% 3/4
O 8.5 50% 2/4
O 13.5 Today 50% 2/4
O 18.5 25% 1/4
O 23.5 25% 1/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Minnesota

What Minnesota allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds198.7#99
Receptions16.0#74
Yds/Rec12.4#114
Rec TD1.0#154

WRs vs Minnesota · 2026

Each main WR who faced Minnesota this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-18.4

Avg diff %-27%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Asaad Waseem	19	94.8	-80%
Oct 10	Xavier Townsend	8	60.3	-87%
Oct 03	JJ Buchanan	50	86.4	-42%
Oct 03	Andrew Marsh	29	52.0	-44%
Sep 26	Chris Lawson	77	67.7	+14%
Sep 26	Dezmen Roebuck	87	66.2	+31%
Sep 19	Marcel Williams	13	56.2	-77%
Sep 19	Kyan Mason	32	28.8	+11%
Sep 12	Anthony Evans III	121	98.6	+23%
Sep 12	Sanfrisco Magee	42	50.6	-17%

Game log · 4 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 13.5	Close
2026-10-09	6	@ Washington	6	Under	15.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Michigan	14	Over	—
2026-09-19	3	vs Northern Iowa	35	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Iowa State	3	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 13.5Underdog 13.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: current books, updated 18m ago.