College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 199 players

Bear Bachmeier QB

BYU vs UCF ·

223.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 50%5/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
209.5
Graph avg
211.3
Graph median
220.562–329
Over the close
67%6/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds209.5â–¼-7.1
Att25.3â–¼-2.3
Cmp%65.8%â–²+0.9
Pass TD1.5â–²+0.4
INT0.3â–¼-0.2
Rush Yds47.3â–²+9.7
Over 223.5 in 2 straight
Bear Bachmeier passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 223.5.
223.5
  1. 2025
    127
  2. 289
  3. 115
  4. 325
  5. 2026
    198
  6. 217
  7. 227
  8. 62
  9. 329
  10. 224
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 223.5

  • Home 54% 6/11 · avg 242.5
  • Away 33% 3/9 · avg 180.3
  • vs UCF 100% 1/1 · avg 289.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 203.5 60% 6/10
  • O 213.5 60% 6/10
  • O 223.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 233.5 30% 3/10
  • O 243.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds239.9#52
  • Yds/Att7.5#104
  • Cmp%64.5%#84
  • Pass TD1.2#147
  • Pass Att32.1#36

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.6
Avg diff %+3%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Drew Mestemaker304327.2-7%
Oct 03 Conner Weigman239255.2-6%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig310276.8+12%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown282201.8+40%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel212273.0-22%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 223.5Close
2026-10-177vs Notre Dame224Over181.5
2026-10-096vs Iowa State329Over202.5
2026-10-035@ TCU62Under203.5
2026-09-193@ Colorado State227Over217.5
2026-09-122vs Arizona217Under214.5
2026-09-051vs Utah Tech198Under—
2025-12-271 (P)vs Georgia Tech325Over215.5
2025-12-0615@ Texas Tech115Under186.5
2025-11-2914vs UCF289Over180.5
2025-11-2213@ Cincinnati127Under211.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 223.5Underdog 223.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 18m ago.