CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

George Pettaway RB

James Madison vs Appalachian State · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

99.5 Rush Yds O -125U —

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 109.6
Graph avg: 77.1
Graph median: 67.00–206
Over the close: 100%2/2

2026 per game

Carries15.6▲+12.5

Rush Yds109.6▲+91.8

Rush TD1.0▲+1.0

Rec0.9+0.0

Rec Yds6.3▲+0.2

99.5

2025

2

Nov 29
0

Dec 05
2

Dec 20
2026

47

Sep 05
52

Sep 12
82

Sep 19
110

Sep 26
206

Oct 03
151

Oct 10
119

Oct 17
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 99.5

Home 22% 2/9 · avg 64.1
Away 22% 2/9 · avg 42.8
vs Appalachian State 0% 0/1 · avg 29.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 79.5 50% 5/10
O 89.5 40% 4/10
O 99.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 109.5 40% 4/10
O 119.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Appalachian State

What Appalachian State allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds154.2#67
Yds/Carry5.4#68
Rush TD1.6#59
Carries28.3#70
Rec Yds23.0#117

RBs vs Appalachian State · 2026

Each main RB who faced Appalachian State this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+17.9

Avg diff %+47%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 16	Dominic Knicely	90	60.3	+49%
Oct 10	Devin Roche	101	46.3	+118%
Sep 26	Jayden Scott	148	52.5	+182%
Sep 19	Henry Rutledge	29	50.3	-42%
Sep 12	TJ Engleman	24	93.2	-74%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 99.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Georgia State	119	Over	—
2026-10-10	6	@ Georgia Southern	151	Over	—
2026-10-03	5	vs Marshall	206	Over	80.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Old Dominion	110	Over	—
2026-09-19	3	@ San Diego State	82	Under	62.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Wagner	52	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	vs Liberty	47	Under	—
2025-12-20	1 (P)	@ Oregon	2	Under	—
2025-12-05	15	vs Troy	0	Under	—
2025-11-29	14	@ Coastal Carolina	2	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 124.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 18m ago.