CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Dawson Pendergrass RB

Baylor vs Kansas · Sat Oct 24 · 1:00 PM ET

49.5 Rush Yds O +130U —

Hit rate · Last 10 50%3/6 Odds imply —

Season avg: 54.7
Graph avg: 54.7
Graph median: 57.511–88
Over the close: 40%2/5

2026 per game

Carries14.8

Rush Yds54.7

Rush TD0.2

Rec1.0

Rec Yds5.0

49.5

2026

88

Sep 05
69

Sep 12
46

Sep 19
85

Sep 26
29

Oct 03
11

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 49.5

Home 50% 2/4 · avg 52.8
Away 50% 1/2 · avg 58.5
vs Kansas No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 39.5 67% 4/6
O 44.5 67% 4/6
O 49.5 Today 50% 3/6
O 54.5 50% 3/6
O 59.5 50% 3/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Kansas

What Kansas allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds146.8#76
Yds/Carry5.4#72
Rush TD1.1#113
Carries27.2#88
Rec Yds20.6#138

RBs vs Kansas · 2026

Each main RB who faced Kansas this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+16.4

Avg diff %+24%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Rodney Fields Jr.	66	64.0	+3%
Oct 10	Wayshawn Parker	171	85.2	+101%
Oct 03	Antonio Martin	40	78.6	-49%
Sep 19	Kyson Brown	81	49.6	+63%
Sep 11	Jamal Roberts	125	123.7	+1%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 49.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs TCU	11	Under	47.5
2026-10-03	5	@ Arizona State	29	Under	59.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Colorado	85	Over	67.5
2026-09-19	3	vs Louisiana Tech	46	Under	77.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Prairie View A&M	69	Over	—
2026-09-05	1	@ Auburn	88	Over	54.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 42.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 17m ago.