CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Rickie Collins QB

Kennesaw State vs Liberty · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

228.5 Pass Yds O -117U —

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 214.5
Graph avg: 200.1
Graph median: 206.585–293
Over the close: 83%5/6

2026 per game

Pass Yds214.5▲+65.6

Att30.7▲+4.8

Cmp%70.1%▲+16.5

Pass TD0.7▼-0.2

INT0.5▼-0.9

Rush Yds45.2▲+27.2

228.5

2025

279

Oct 04
126

Oct 18
224

Oct 25
85

Nov 08
2026

156

Sep 03
260

Sep 12
189

Sep 19
129

Sep 26
293

Oct 07
260

Oct 14
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 228.5

Home 50% 3/6 · avg 188.2
Away 29% 2/7 · avg 171.4
vs Liberty No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 208.5 50% 5/10
O 218.5 50% 5/10
O 228.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 238.5 40% 4/10
O 248.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Liberty

What Liberty allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds195.2#148
Yds/Att6.8#143
Cmp%58.7%#153
Pass TD1.4#108
Pass Att28.8#79

QBs vs Liberty · 2026

Each main QB who faced Liberty this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-70.9

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Landyn Locke	138	256.0	-46%
Oct 02	Braden Streeter	78	32.3	+141%
Sep 24	Deuce Bailey	213	237.5	-10%
Sep 19	Keldric Luster	93	194.6	-52%
Sep 05	Camden Coleman	57	213.2	-73%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 228.5	Close
2026-10-14	7	@ Missouri State	260	Over	221.5
2026-10-07	6	vs Jacksonville State	293	Over	193.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Arkansas State	129	Under	—
2026-09-19	3	@ Tennessee	189	Under	165.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Georgia State	260	Over	—
2026-09-03	1	vs West Georgia	156	Under	—
2025-11-08	11	@ Miami	85	Under	—
2025-10-25	9	@ Georgia Tech	224	Under	193.5
2025-10-18	8	vs Pittsburgh	126	Under	253.5
2025-10-04	6	@ SMU	279	Over	231.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 228.5PrizePicks 228.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 39m ago.