CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

James Resar WR

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee · Tue Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET

27.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 80%4/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 32.4
Graph avg: 32.4
Graph median: 31.020–46
Over the close: 100%2/2

2026 per game

Rec3.4

Rec Yds32.4

Rec TD0.2

27.5

2026

31

Sep 05
20

Sep 19
37

Sep 26
28

Oct 07
46

Oct 13
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 27.5

Home 100% 2/2 · avg 32.5
Away 67% 2/3 · avg 32.3
vs Middle Tennessee No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 17.5 100% 5/5
O 22.5 80% 4/5
O 27.5 Today 80% 4/5
O 32.5 40% 2/5
O 37.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Middle Tennessee

What Middle Tennessee allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds221.6#52
Receptions16.0#75
Yds/Rec13.8#50
Rec TD1.7#64

WRs vs Middle Tennessee · 2026

Each main WR who faced Middle Tennessee this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-13.5

Avg diff %-27%

Beat their average30% (3/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 13	Da'Wain Lofton	40	68.0	-41%
Oct 13	Sean Wilson	35	60.8	-42%
Oct 03	Nik McMillan	30	74.0	-59%
Oct 03	Cam Pickett	49	48.0	+2%
Sep 26	Deondre Johnson	57	62.3	-9%
Sep 26	Luke Gilbert	39	37.5	+4%
Sep 19	Gary Givens III	38	55.5	-32%
Sep 19	Marshaun Brown	6	22.5	-73%
Sep 12	Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw	79	49.0	+61%
Sep 12	Toby Payne	6	36.2	-83%

Game log · 5 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 27.5	Close
2026-10-13	7	@ Jacksonville State	46	Over	21.5
2026-10-07	6	vs New Mexico State	28	Over	24.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Long Island University	37	Over	—
2026-09-19	3	@ Florida Atlantic	20	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	@ South Florida	31	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 27.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 30m ago.