CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Anthony Carrie RB

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee · Tue Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET

39.5 Rush Yds O +120U —

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 43.0
Graph avg: 36.1
Graph median: 34.016–71
Over the close: 0%0/3

2026 per game

Carries13.7▲+5.7

Rush Yds43.0▲+6.9

Rush TD0.2▼-0.2

Rec1.2▲+0.4

Rec Yds8.0▲+3.8

39.5

2025

41

Nov 15
24

Nov 22
16

Nov 29
22

Dec 26
2026

31

Sep 05
49

Sep 12
44

Sep 19
71

Sep 26
37

Oct 07
26

Oct 13
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

Home 67% 6/9 · avg 44.0
Away 50% 5/10 · avg 33.1
vs Middle Tennessee 100% 1/1 · avg 42.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 29.5 60% 6/10
O 34.5 50% 5/10
O 39.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 44.5 20% 2/10
O 49.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Middle Tennessee

What Middle Tennessee allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds138.3#95
Yds/Carry5.4#74
Rush TD1.4#74
Carries25.8#106
Rec Yds35.8#27

RBs vs Middle Tennessee · 2026

Each main RB who faced Middle Tennessee this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-3.2

Avg diff %-1%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 13	Jo'Nathan Silver	19	42.2	-55%
Oct 03	Isaiah Marshall	110	52.4	+110%
Sep 26	Jalen Likely	32	42.2	-24%
Sep 19	Dominic Kelley	45	91.0	-51%
Sep 12	Joshon Barbie	43	37.4	+15%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 39.5	Close
2026-10-13	7	@ Jacksonville State	26	Under	44.5
2026-10-07	6	vs New Mexico State	37	Under	50.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Long Island University	71	Over	—
2026-09-19	3	@ Florida Atlantic	44	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Buffalo	49	Over	—
2026-09-05	1	@ South Florida	31	Under	—
2025-12-26	1 (P)	@ UTSA	22	Under	29.5
2025-11-29	14	@ Sam Houston	16	Under	—
2025-11-22	13	vs Jacksonville State	24	Under	—
2025-11-15	12	vs Liberty	41	Over	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Fanatics, updated 31m ago.