College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 199 players

Elija Lofton WR

Miami vs Pittsburgh ·

29.5 Rec Yds O +110U —
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply —
Season avg
26.7
Graph avg
21.4
Graph median
18.58–39
Over the close
38%3/8
2026 per game
Rec2.5â–²+0.7
Rec Yds26.7â–²+9.9
Rec TD0.3â–²+0.1
Elija Lofton receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 29.5.
29.5
  1. 2025
    22
  2. 9
  3. 8
  4. 15
  5. 2026
    14
  6. 9
  7. 39
  8. 38
  9. 34
  10. 26
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 29.5

  • Home 20% 2/10 · avg 20.2
  • Away 22% 2/9 · avg 19.6
  • vs Pittsburgh 0% 0/1 · avg 9.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 19.5 50% 5/10
  • O 24.5 40% 4/10
  • O 29.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 34.5 20% 2/10
  • O 39.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Pittsburgh

What Pittsburgh allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds235.1#29
  • Receptions17.0#47
  • Yds/Rec13.8#52
  • Rec TD1.8#50

WRs vs Pittsburgh · 2026

Each main WR who faced Pittsburgh this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-9.7
Avg diff %-15%
Beat their average42% (5/12)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 17 John Montague5450.0+8%
Oct 17 Dawson Pough2239.5-44%
Oct 10 Jordan Shipp9369.6+34%
Oct 10 Jelani Thurman2957.0-49%
Oct 02 Que'Sean Brown14778.2+88%
Oct 02 Luke Reynolds9359.3+57%
Sep 17 Umari Hatcher58145.2-60%
Sep 17 Justus Ross-Simmons2536.2-31%
Sep 12 Joshua Derry959.0-85%
Sep 12 Waden Charles4139.5+4%
Sep 05 Maleek Huggins2357.2-60%
Sep 05 Lynel Billups-Williams3151.0-39%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 29.5Close
2026-10-177vs Florida State26Under26.5
2026-10-035@ Clemson34Over22.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan38Over—
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest39Over—
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M9Under17.5
2026-09-041@ Stanford14Under16.5
2026-01-081 (P)@ Ole Miss15Under9.5
2025-12-201 (P)@ Texas A&M8Under10.5
2025-11-2914@ Pittsburgh9Under21.5
2025-11-2213@ Virginia Tech22Under13.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 25.5Underdog 25.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 17m ago.