CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Cole Keller WR

James Madison vs Appalachian State · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

29.5 Rec Yds O -110U —

Hit rate · Last 10 71%5/7 Odds imply —

Season avg: 45.0
Graph avg: 45.0
Graph median: 35.021–108

2026 per game

Rec2.6

Rec Yds45.0

Rec TD0.6

29.5

2026

30

Sep 05
27

Sep 12
40

Sep 19
21

Sep 26
35

Oct 03
108

Oct 10
54

Oct 17
?

Oct 22

Splits all logged games · over 29.5

Home 75% 3/4 · avg 36.5
Away 67% 2/3 · avg 56.3
vs Appalachian State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 19.5 100% 7/7
O 24.5 86% 6/7
O 29.5 Today 71% 5/7
O 34.5 57% 4/7
O 39.5 43% 3/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Appalachian State

What Appalachian State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds224.8#41
Receptions17.9#29
Yds/Rec12.6#108
Rec TD1.2#122

WRs vs Appalachian State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Appalachian State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-17.2

Avg diff %-38%

Beat their average10% (1/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 16	Colton Hinton	77	55.0	+40%
Oct 16	Clayton Coppock	19	46.2	-59%
Oct 10	TJ Johnson	16	49.2	-67%
Oct 10	Josh Rodriguez	13	29.7	-56%
Sep 26	Keenan Jackson	64	67.2	-5%
Sep 26	Joshisa Trader	29	48.0	-40%
Sep 19	Derrick Eley	26	56.3	-54%
Sep 19	Jaylen Hampton	50	54.5	-8%
Sep 12	Nathaniel Joseph	11	52.2	-79%
Sep 12	Tyler Johnson	18	37.0	-51%

Game log · 7 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 29.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Georgia State	54	Over	—
2026-10-10	6	@ Georgia Southern	108	Over	—
2026-10-03	5	vs Marshall	35	Over	—
2026-09-26	4	@ Old Dominion	21	Under	—
2026-09-19	3	@ San Diego State	40	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Wagner	27	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	vs Liberty	30	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 28.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 17m ago.