CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kamari Moulton RB

Iowa vs Minnesota · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

95.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 29%2/7 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 103.8
Graph avg: 99.1
Graph median: 93.044–208
Over the close: 86%6/7

2026 per game

Carries15.2▼-0.3

Rush Yds103.8▲+24.0

Rush TD0.8▲+0.3

Rec1.8▲+0.3

Rec Yds6.2▼-2.6

95.5

2025

68

Sep 19
96

Oct 11
90

Nov 15
93

Nov 28
95

Dec 31
2026

44

Sep 26
208

Oct 09
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 95.5

Home 22% 2/9 · avg 78.1
Away 29% 2/7 · avg 99.1
vs Minnesota 0% 0/1 · avg 75.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 75.5 71% 5/7
O 85.5 71% 5/7
O 95.5 Today 29% 2/7
O 105.5 14% 1/7
O 115.5 14% 1/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Minnesota

What Minnesota allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds124.4#112
Yds/Carry5.1#94
Rush TD1.4#76
Carries24.2#137
Rec Yds12.9#180

RBs vs Minnesota · 2026

Each main RB who faced Minnesota this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+16.1

Avg diff %+26%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Fame Ijeboi	195	62.2	+214%
Oct 03	Jordan Marshall	50	48.6	+3%
Sep 26	Brian Bonner Jr.	23	54.6	-58%
Sep 19	Jordan Gant	11	73.5	-85%
Sep 12	Fluff Bothwell	113	72.5	+56%

Game log · 7 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 95.5	Close
2026-10-09	6	@ Washington	208	Over	69.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Michigan	44	Under	59.5
2025-12-31	1 (P)	@ Vanderbilt	95	Under	83.5
2025-11-28	14	@ Nebraska	93	Under	86.5
2025-11-15	12	@ USC	90	Under	82.5
2025-10-11	7	@ Wisconsin	96	Over	77.5
2025-09-19	4	@ Rutgers	68	Under	57.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 95.5Underdog 95.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.