CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Cale Hellums QB

Army vs Tulsa · Fri Oct 23 · 8:30 PM ET

105.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 119.8
Graph avg: 111.3
Graph median: 95.045–223
Over the close: 25%1/4

2026 per game

Pass Yds59.7▲+6.3

Att9.5▲+2.8

Cmp%56.1%▲+2.1

Pass TD0.5▲+0.2

INT0.2▼-0.1

Rush Yds119.8▲+26.4

105.5

2025

159

Nov 22
90

Nov 29
100

Dec 13
45

Dec 27
2026

87

Sep 05
55

Sep 12
104

Sep 25
55

Oct 03
223

Oct 10
195

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 105.5

Home 50% 5/10 · avg 108.5
Away 22% 2/9 · avg 94.3
vs Tulsa 100% 1/1 · avg 159.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 85.5 70% 7/10
O 95.5 50% 5/10
O 105.5 Today 30% 3/10
O 115.5 30% 3/10
O 125.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Tulsa

What Tulsa allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds215.3#105
Yds/Att7.6#95
Cmp%63.7%#97
Pass TD1.9#49
Pass Att28.4#97

QBs vs Tulsa · 2026

Each main QB who faced Tulsa this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+11.4

Avg diff %-13%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Jacurri Brown	154	85.7	+80%
Oct 01	Tayven Jackson	0	8.6	-100%
Sep 26	KJ Jackson	29	18.5	+57%
Sep 05	Drew Mestemaker	3	27.8	-89%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 105.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Florida Atlantic	195	Over	—
2026-10-10	6	vs Tulane	223	Over	—
2026-10-03	5	@ Louisiana Tech	55	Under	—
2026-09-25	4	@ Temple	104	Under	89.5
2026-09-12	2	vs South Florida	55	Under	103.5
2026-09-05	1	vs Bryant	87	Under	—
2025-12-27	1 (P)	vs UConn	45	Under	140.5
2025-12-13	16	@ Navy	100	Under	110.5
2025-11-29	14	@ UTSA	90	Under	—
2025-11-22	13	vs Tulsa	159	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 105.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.