CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

J'Koby Williams RB

Texas Tech vs Cincinnati · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

93.5 Rush Yds O -117U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 43%3/7 Odds imply 50.3% Over

Season avg: 89.7
Graph avg: 81.6
Graph median: 88.022–135
Over the close: 57%4/7

2026 per game

Carries12.3▲+1.3

Rush Yds89.7▲+27.8

Rush TD0.8▲+0.4

Rec3.5▲+1.0

Rec Yds24.2▼-3.5

93.5

2025

43

Sep 20
107

Oct 04
22

Oct 18
135

Nov 01
60

Nov 29
2026

116

Sep 12
88

Oct 03
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 93.5

Home 8% 1/13 · avg 64.1
Away 43% 3/7 · avg 81.6
vs Cincinnati No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 73.5 57% 4/7
O 83.5 57% 4/7
O 93.5 Today 43% 3/7
O 103.5 43% 3/7
O 113.5 29% 2/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Cincinnati

What Cincinnati allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds156.5#65
Yds/Carry5.3#82
Rush TD1.6#62
Carries29.8#54
Rec Yds40.0#15

RBs vs Cincinnati · 2026

Each main RB who faced Cincinnati this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-23.2

Avg diff %-20%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Cam Cook	40	132.2	-70%
Oct 03	Kedrick Reescano	57	41.0	+39%
Sep 26	Rodney Fields Jr.	50	67.2	-26%
Sep 19	Rodney Nelson	32	52.7	-39%
Sep 05	Evan Dickens	47	49.2	-4%

Game log · 7 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 93.5	Close
2026-10-03	5	@ Colorado	88	Under	53.5
2026-09-12	2	@ Oregon State	116	Over	60.5
2025-11-29	14	@ West Virginia	60	Under	61.5
2025-11-01	10	@ Kansas State	135	Over	43.5
2025-10-18	8	@ Arizona State	22	Under	50.5
2025-10-04	6	@ Houston	107	Over	58.5
2025-09-20	4	@ Utah	43	Under	58.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 96.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 15m ago.