College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 199 players

Bear Bachmeier QB

BYU vs UCF ·

39.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 56%5/9 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
47.3
Graph avg
42.3
Graph median
46.0-3–98
Over the close
44%4/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds209.5â–¼-7.1
Att25.3â–¼-2.3
Cmp%65.8%â–²+0.9
Pass TD1.5â–²+0.4
INT0.3â–¼-0.2
Rush Yds47.3â–²+9.7
Over 39.5 in 3 straight
Bear Bachmeier rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 39.5.
39.5
  1. 2025
    26
  2. 98
  3. 89
  4. 49
  5. 12
  6. 46
  7. -2
  8. 2026
    -3
  9. 66
  10. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

  • Home 46% 5/11 · avg 39.1
  • Away 56% 5/9 · avg 42.3
  • vs UCF 0% 0/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 29.5 56% 5/9
  • O 34.5 56% 5/9
  • O 39.5 Today 56% 5/9
  • O 44.5 56% 5/9
  • O 49.5 33% 3/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds239.9#52
  • Yds/Att7.5#104
  • Cmp%64.5%#84
  • Pass TD1.2#147
  • Pass Att32.1#36

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-10.4
Avg diff %-178%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Drew Mestemaker228.0-93%
Oct 03 Conner Weigman5029.8+68%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig-162.4-767%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown1733.2-49%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel1324.8-47%

Game log · 9 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 39.5Close
2026-10-035@ TCU66Over33.5
2026-09-193@ Colorado State-3Under32.5
2025-12-0615@ Texas Tech-2Under30.5
2025-11-2213@ Cincinnati46Over49.5
2025-11-0811@ Texas Tech12Under37.5
2025-10-259@ Iowa State49Over53.5
2025-10-117@ Arizona89Over43.5
2025-09-275@ Colorado98Over29.5
2025-09-204@ East Carolina26Under24.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 39.5Underdog 39.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.