College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 199 players

Bear Bachmeier QB

BYU vs UCF ·

11.5 Rush Att O -127U —
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply —
Season avg
8.2
Graph avg
8.1
Graph median
9.01–15
Over the close
25%2/8
2026 per game
Pass Yds209.5â–¼-7.1
Att25.3â–¼-2.3
Cmp%65.8%â–²+0.9
Pass TD1.5â–²+0.4
INT0.3â–¼-0.2
Rush Yds47.3â–²+9.7
Bear Bachmeier rush attempts by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.
11.5
  1. 2025
    13
  2. 9
  3. 9
  4. 1
  5. 2026
    4
  6. 6
  7. 2
  8. 15
  9. 9
  10. 13
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

  • Home 27% 3/11 · avg 8.4
  • Away 56% 5/9 · avg 11.6
  • vs UCF 0% 0/1 · avg 9.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 9.5 30% 3/10
  • O 10.5 30% 3/10
  • O 11.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 12.5 30% 3/10
  • O 13.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds239.9#52
  • Yds/Att7.5#104
  • Cmp%64.5%#84
  • Pass TD1.2#147
  • Pass Att32.1#36

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: rush att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.3
Avg diff %+39%
Beat their average60% (3/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Drew Mestemaker23.8-47%
Oct 03 Conner Weigman137.7+70%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig66.8-12%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown124.6+161%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel75.8+22%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Attvs 11.5Close
2026-10-177vs Notre Dame13Over—
2026-10-096vs Iowa State9Under11.5
2026-10-035@ TCU15Over8.5
2026-09-193@ Colorado State2Under8.5
2026-09-122vs Arizona6Under10.5
2026-09-051vs Utah Tech4Under—
2025-12-271 (P)vs Georgia Tech1Under12.5
2025-12-0615@ Texas Tech9Under10.5
2025-11-2914vs UCF9Under11.5
2025-11-2213@ Cincinnati13Over11.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.