CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Preston Rex RB

BYU vs UCF · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

2.5 Receptions O +120U —

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 0%0/5 Odds imply —

Season avg: 1.3
Graph avg: 0.8
Graph median: 1.00–2
Over the close: 0%0/1

2026 per game

Carries5.7▲+2.4

Rush Yds30.2▲+22.7

Rush TD0.3▲+0.3

Rec1.3▲+0.6

Rec Yds7.8▼-4.7

2.5

2025

1

Oct 11
1

Oct 25
0

Nov 08
2026

0

Sep 19
2

Oct 03
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 20% 1/5 · avg 1.4
Away 0% 0/5 · avg 0.8
vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 60% 3/5
O 1.5 20% 1/5
O 2.5 Today 0% 0/5
O 3.5 0% 0/5
O 4.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds117.9#125
Yds/Carry4.3#157
Rush TD0.9#133
Carries27.3#85
Rec Yds41.2#12

RBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main RB who faced UCF this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.7

Avg diff %+44%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Caleb Hawkins	2	3.6	-44%
Oct 03	Re'Shaun Sanford II	2	1.3	+50%
Sep 26	Jeremy Payne	6	2.4	+150%
Sep 19	Lanear McCrary Jr.	1	0.8	+25%
Sep 12	Damon Ferguson Jr.	3	2.2	+38%

Game log · 5 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close
2026-10-03	5	@ TCU	2	Under	—
2026-09-19	3	@ Colorado State	0	Under	—
2025-11-08	11	@ Texas Tech	0	Under	1.5
2025-10-25	9	@ Iowa State	1	Under	—
2025-10-11	7	@ Arizona	1	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Fanatics, updated 9m ago.