CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Michael Scott WR

James Madison vs Appalachian State · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

3.5 Receptions O +101U —

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Appalachian State 0%0/1 Odds imply —

Season avg: 3.2
Graph avg: 1.0
Graph median: 1.01–1

2026 per game

Rec3.2▲+1.2

Rec Yds40.2▲+18.9

Rec TD0.3▲+0.1

3.5

2025

1

Nov 15
?

Oct 22

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 50% 3/6 · avg 2.8
Away 25% 1/4 · avg 2.5
vs Appalachian State 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 0% 0/1
O 2.5 0% 0/1
O 3.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 4.5 0% 0/1
O 5.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Appalachian State

What Appalachian State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds224.8#41
Receptions17.9#29
Yds/Rec12.6#108
Rec TD1.2#122

WRs vs Appalachian State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Appalachian State this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.7

Avg diff %+24%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 16	Clayton Coppock	1	2.6	-62%
Oct 16	Colton Hinton	3	2.5	+20%
Oct 10	TJ Johnson	2	2.8	-29%
Oct 10	Josh Rodriguez	2	2.5	-20%
Sep 26	Keenan Jackson	4	4.6	-13%
Sep 26	Preston Douglas	5	3.8	+32%
Sep 19	Jaden Barnes	10	5.2	+94%
Sep 19	Jaylen Hampton	4	4.5	-11%
Sep 12	Nathaniel Joseph	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 12	Jeremiah Melvin	7	2.0	+250%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close
2025-11-15	12	vs App State	1	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.