CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kyler Kasper WR

BYU vs UCF · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

3.5 Receptions O +102U -136

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 0%0/3 Odds imply 46.2% Over

Season avg: 3.3
Graph avg: 1.3
Graph median: 1.01–2
Over the close: 0%0/2

2026 per game

Rec3.3▲+2.3

Rec Yds40.7▲+15.2

Rec TD0.5▲+0.5

3.5

2025

1

Sep 13
2026

1

Sep 19
2

Oct 03
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 60% 3/5 · avg 3.6
Away 0% 0/3 · avg 1.3
vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 33% 1/3
O 2.5 0% 0/3
O 3.5 Today 0% 0/3
O 4.5 0% 0/3
O 5.5 0% 0/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs UCF

What UCF allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds213.2#64
Receptions17.2#44
Yds/Rec12.4#119
Rec TD1.1#146

WRs vs UCF · 2026

Each main WR who faced UCF this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.2

Avg diff %+4%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Wyatt Young	5	5.4	-7%
Oct 10	Justin Bowick	6	4.6	+30%
Oct 03	Amare Thomas	4	5.3	-25%
Oct 03	Patrick Overmyer	6	5.3	+13%
Sep 26	Ed Small	3	6.4	-53%
Sep 26	Kari Ashley	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 19	Rodshaun Dorsey	4	3.4	+18%
Sep 19	DJ Riles	7	2.8	+150%
Sep 12	Cataurus Hicks	3	3.8	-22%
Sep 12	Malik Knight	2	3.7	-45%

Game log · 3 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close
2026-10-03	5	@ TCU	2	Under	3.5
2026-09-19	3	@ Colorado State	1	Under	3.5
2025-09-13	3	@ Northwestern	1	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 8m ago.