CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Evan James WR

Iowa vs Minnesota · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

1.5 Receptions

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%1/2 Odds imply —

Season avg: 1.8
Graph avg: 2.0
Graph median: 2.01–3

2026 per game

Rec1.8

Rec Yds14.5

Rec TD0.0

1.5

2026

1

Sep 12
3

Sep 19
?

Oct 24

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 50% 1/2 · avg 2.0
Away 50% 1/2 · avg 1.5
vs Minnesota No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 100% 2/2
O 1.5 Today 50% 1/2
O 2.5 50% 1/2
O 3.5 0% 0/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Minnesota

What Minnesota allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds198.7#99
Receptions16.0#74
Yds/Rec12.4#114
Rec TD1.0#154

WRs vs Minnesota · 2026

Each main WR who faced Minnesota this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.7

Avg diff %-37%

Beat their average10% (1/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Asaad Waseem	2	6.0	-67%
Oct 10	Xavier Townsend	1	5.2	-81%
Oct 03	Andrew Marsh	3	5.0	-40%
Oct 03	JJ Buchanan	4	4.6	-13%
Sep 26	Dezmen Roebuck	7	6.8	+2%
Sep 26	Chris Lawson	4	4.7	-14%
Sep 19	Marcel Williams	4	4.6	-13%
Sep 19	Miles Burris	1	2.7	-62%
Sep 12	Anthony Evans III	7	8.0	-12%
Sep 12	Marquis Johnson	1	3.0	-67%

Game log · 2 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close
2026-09-19	3	vs Northern Iowa	3	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Iowa State	1	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: current books, updated 5m ago.