CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kayden Dixon-Wyatt WR

USC vs Wisconsin · Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET

3.5 Receptions O +106U -140

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 50%1/2 Odds imply 45.4% Over

Season avg: 3.9
Graph avg: 3.5
Graph median: 3.52–5
Over the close: 50%1/2

2026 per game

Rec3.9

Rec Yds57.1

Rec TD0.6

3.5

2026

5

Sep 19
2

Oct 10
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 60% 3/5 · avg 4.0
Away 50% 1/2 · avg 3.5
vs Wisconsin No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 100% 2/2
O 2.5 50% 1/2
O 3.5 Today 50% 1/2
O 4.5 50% 1/2
O 5.5 0% 0/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Wisconsin

What Wisconsin allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds154.5#174
Receptions14.9#113
Yds/Rec10.4#181
Rec TD0.9#167

WRs vs Wisconsin · 2026

Each main WR who faced Wisconsin this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.8

Avg diff %-16%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Semaj Morgan	5	3.8	+32%
Oct 17	Brian Rowe Jr.	2	2.4	-17%
Oct 03	Chrishon Mccray	3	3.8	-22%
Oct 03	Jayden Savoury	4	3.8	+4%
Sep 26	Chase Sowell	6	4.7	+29%
Sep 26	Benjamin Brahmer	4	2.8	+41%
Sep 19	Ben Prosper	0	5.0	-100%
Sep 19	Joshua Long	3	5.0	-40%
Sep 06	Jordan Faison	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 06	Jaden Greathouse	1	3.6	-72%

Game log · 2 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close
2026-10-10	6	@ Penn State	2	Under	3.5
2026-09-19	3	@ Rutgers	5	Over	3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.