CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

J'Koby Williams RB

Texas Tech vs Cincinnati · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

23.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 29%2/7 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 24.2
Graph avg: 20.4
Graph median: 11.05–71
Over the close: 33%2/6

2026 per game

Carries12.3▲+1.3

Rush Yds89.7▲+27.8

Rush TD0.8▲+0.4

Rec3.5▲+1.0

Rec Yds24.2▼-3.5

23.5

2025

71

Sep 20
6

Oct 04
8

Oct 18
5

Nov 01
11

Nov 29
2026

16

Sep 12
26

Oct 03
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 54% 7/13 · avg 30.0
Away 29% 2/7 · avg 20.4
vs Cincinnati No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 43% 3/7
O 18.5 29% 2/7
O 23.5 Today 29% 2/7
O 28.5 14% 1/7
O 33.5 14% 1/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Cincinnati

What Cincinnati allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds156.5#65
Yds/Carry5.3#82
Rush TD1.6#62
Carries29.8#54
Rec Yds40.0#15

RBs vs Cincinnati · 2026

Each main RB who faced Cincinnati this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.4

Avg diff %+20%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Cam Cook	41	10.2	+303%
Oct 03	Quincy Craig	0	10.4	-100%
Sep 26	Joe Jackson	10	24.4	-59%
Sep 19	Cade Yacamelli	0	3.7	-100%
Sep 05	Evan Dickens	27	17.4	+55%

Game log · 7 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 23.5	Close
2026-10-03	5	@ Colorado	26	Over	21.5
2026-09-12	2	@ Oregon State	16	Under	27.5
2025-11-29	14	@ West Virginia	11	Under	—
2025-11-01	10	@ Kansas State	5	Under	21.5
2025-10-18	8	@ Arizona State	8	Under	18.5
2025-10-04	6	@ Houston	6	Under	29.5
2025-09-20	4	@ Utah	71	Over	25.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 9m ago.