CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Daylyn Upshaw WR

Miami vs Pittsburgh · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

34.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Pittsburgh 0%0/1 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 36.7
Graph avg: 11.0
Graph median: 11.011–11

2026 per game

Rec2.8▲+1.4

Rec Yds36.7▲+15.7

Rec TD0.3▲+0.3

34.5

2025

11

Nov 29
?

Oct 24

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

Home 33% 2/6 · avg 34.0
Away 20% 1/5 · avg 24.2
vs Pittsburgh 0% 0/1 · avg 11.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 0% 0/1
O 29.5 0% 0/1
O 34.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 39.5 0% 0/1
O 44.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Pittsburgh

What Pittsburgh allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds235.1#29
Receptions17.0#47
Yds/Rec13.8#52
Rec TD1.8#50

WRs vs Pittsburgh · 2026

Each main WR who faced Pittsburgh this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-9.7

Avg diff %-15%

Beat their average42% (5/12)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	John Montague	54	50.0	+8%
Oct 17	Dawson Pough	22	39.5	-44%
Oct 10	Jordan Shipp	93	69.6	+34%
Oct 10	Jelani Thurman	29	57.0	-49%
Oct 02	Que'Sean Brown	147	78.2	+88%
Oct 02	Luke Reynolds	93	59.3	+57%
Sep 17	Umari Hatcher	58	145.2	-60%
Sep 17	Justus Ross-Simmons	25	36.2	-31%
Sep 12	Joshua Derry	9	59.0	-85%
Sep 12	Waden Charles	41	39.5	+4%
Sep 05	Maleek Huggins	23	57.2	-60%
Sep 05	Lynel Billups-Williams	31	51.0	-39%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 34.5	Close
2025-11-29	14	@ Pittsburgh	11	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 34.5Underdog 34.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.