CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kevin Jennings QB

SMU vs California · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

2.5 Pass TDs O +128U —

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs California 0%0/1 Odds imply —

Season avg: 2.7
Graph avg: 2.0
Graph median: 2.02–2
Over the close: 100%1/1

2026 per game

Pass Yds309.8▲+29.8

Att32.0▼-2.9

Cmp%72.9%▲+6.8

Pass TD2.7▲+0.7

INT0.8▼-0.2

Rush Yds15.8▲+11.7

2.5

2025

2

Nov 29
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 46% 5/11 · avg 2.5
Away 38% 3/8 · avg 1.9
vs California 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 100% 1/1
O 1.5 100% 1/1
O 2.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 3.5 0% 0/1
O 4.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs California

What California allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds220.8#86
Yds/Att7.1#124
Cmp%60.1%#133
Pass TD1.6#86
Pass Att31.1#57

QBs vs California · 2026

Each main QB who faced California this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.1

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average33% (2/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Giovanni Lopez	4	2.2	+85%
Oct 10	Ethan Grunkemeyer	1	2.3	-57%
Oct 03	Jackson Arnold	3	1.2	+157%
Sep 25	Tait Reynolds	0	0.2	-100%
Sep 12	Steven Angeli	1	1.5	-33%
Sep 05	Nico Iamaleava	0	1.0	-100%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass TDs	vs 2.5	Close
2025-11-29	14	@ California	2	Under	1.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.