College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 199 players

Kevin Jennings QB

SMU vs California ·

2.5 Pass TDs O +128U —
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 38%3/8 Odds imply —
Season avg
2.7
Graph avg
1.9
Graph median
2.00–3
Over the close
71%5/7
2026 per game
Pass Yds309.8â–²+29.8
Att32.0â–¼-2.9
Cmp%72.9%â–²+6.8
Pass TD2.7â–²+0.7
INT0.8â–¼-0.2
Rush Yds15.8â–²+11.7
Under 2.5 in 2 straight
Kevin Jennings passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
2.5
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 3
  3. 2
  4. 0
  5. 3
  6. 2
  7. 2026
    3
  8. 1
  9. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 46% 5/11 · avg 2.5
  • Away 38% 3/8 · avg 1.9
  • vs California 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 88% 7/8
  • O 1.5 62% 5/8
  • O 2.5 Today 38% 3/8
  • O 3.5 0% 0/8
  • O 4.5 0% 0/8

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs California

What California allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds220.8#86
  • Yds/Att7.1#124
  • Cmp%60.1%#133
  • Pass TD1.6#86
  • Pass Att31.1#57

QBs vs California · 2026

Each main QB who faced California this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.1
Avg diff %-8%
Beat their average33% (2/6)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 17 Giovanni Lopez42.2+85%
Oct 10 Ethan Grunkemeyer12.3-57%
Oct 03 Jackson Arnold31.2+157%
Sep 25 Tait Reynolds00.2-100%
Sep 12 Steven Angeli11.5-33%
Sep 05 Nico Iamaleava01.0-100%

Game log · 8 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 2.5Close
2026-09-193@ Louisville1Under1.5
2026-09-071@ Florida State3Over1.5
2025-11-2914@ California2Under1.5
2025-11-0811@ Boston College3Over1.5
2025-10-259@ Wake Forest0Under1.5
2025-10-188@ Clemson2Under1.5
2025-09-204@ TCU3Over1.5
2025-09-133@ Missouri State1Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.