Matchup X-Ray · Week 7 · Division game Watch the 3D replayGame page →
AwayTampa Bay BuccaneersQB Jalon Daniels
vs 42% 58% Market-implied win chance · no-vig, 15 books Bank of America Stadium · Outdoors
HomeCarolina PanthersQB Bryce Young

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Matchup X-Ray

Spread
Panthers -3
Total
44.5
Buccaneers ML
+136
Panthers ML
-148
Books
15
  • Odds15 sportsbooks · Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET
  • KarmaEdge AIPublished · Premium
  • Results & closing linesnflverse · through Week 6
  • Line movementDraftKings, open to now
  • Play-by-playnflverse · pass zones, run lanes, drives
  • Injury reportWeek 7 official reports

On the field

Where the ball goes, from every charted 2026 play (nflverse play-by-play): each offense's passes by zone and runs by lane, over what the other defense allows there. Ranks: 1 = the stingiest defense in that zone. Directions are the offense's left and right.

3D replay · last game
—

Every snap is a real play from nflverse play-by-play: the spot, down and distance, pass depth, direction and air yards, run lane, yards gained and result, with nflverse's own play description. The 22 players and their paths are illustrative: public data has no player tracking.

Passing194 charted throws in 6 games
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE DEEP · 20+ AIR YDSSHORT 7% 7.8 Y/A · 38% cmp Panthers allow 26.2 · #32 4% 12.7 Y/A · 29% cmp · 1 TD Panthers allow 3.0 · #1 6% 9.1 Y/A · 25% cmp Panthers allow 8.4 · #10 34% 4.7 Y/A · 76% cmp · 3 TD Panthers allow 4.5 · #2 12% 6.9 Y/A · 58% cmp Panthers allow 9.0 · #31 37% 4.8 Y/A · 65% cmp · 1 TD Panthers allow 4.6 · #7 QB

Buccaneers throw short right most (37%, 4.8 Y/A). The Panthers are soft short middle: 9.0 Y/A allowed, #31 of 32.

Running157 charted carries
YARDS PER CARRY → 7.3 14% L End 5.2 #16 7.2 12% L Tackle 5.4 #22 3.6 15% L Guard 5.9 #29 3.8 20% Middle 4.8 #30 3.6 14% R Guard 4.2 #23 4.9 13% R Tackle 6.8 #30 4.7 12% R End 5.5 #22 RB PANTHERS ALLOW · RANK

Most carries go middle (20%, 3.8 yards a carry); the Panthers allow 4.8 there (#30 of 32).

Passing201 charted throws in 5 games
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE DEEP · 20+ AIR YDSSHORT 8% 10.8 Y/A · 38% cmp · 1 TD Buccaneers allow 8.1 · #7 5% 13.6 Y/A · 50% cmp · 1 TD Buccaneers allow 12.1 · #10 7% 16.6 Y/A · 64% cmp · 1 TD Buccaneers allow 4.2 · #4 35% 5.0 Y/A · 59% cmp · 4 TD Buccaneers allow 6.0 · #21 15% 10.9 Y/A · 74% cmp · 1 TD Buccaneers allow 7.8 · #23 30% 5.3 Y/A · 62% cmp · 3 TD Buccaneers allow 6.2 · #27 QB

Panthers throw short left most (35%, 5.0 Y/A). The Buccaneers are soft short right: 6.2 Y/A allowed, #27 of 32.

Running123 charted carries
YARDS PER CARRY → 4.5 14% L End 2.6 #2 7.7 15% L Tackle 3.3 #4 4.6 17% L Guard 1.8 #1 2.9 28% Middle 4.3 #26 4.6 11% R Guard 3.2 #11 3.8 10% R Tackle 4.3 #20 4.3 6% R End 5.9 #24 RB BUCCANEERS ALLOW · RANK

Most carries go middle (28%, 2.9 yards a carry); the Buccaneers allow 4.3 there (#26 of 32).

Buccaneers drives, last gamevs PIT · Oct 18 · 1 TD, 4 FG, 6 punts, 3 turnovers
10 20 30 40 50 40 30 20 10 Punt · 3 pl Punt · 3 pl Field goal · 5 pl Touchdown · 8 pl Punt · 4 pl Field goal · 6 pl Punt · 3 pl Field goal · 16 pl Punt · 3 pl Turnover · 3 pl Punt · 3 pl Turnover · 2 pl Field goal · 4 pl Turnover on downs · 10 pl
  • Touchdown
  • Field goal
  • Punt / half
  • Turnover
  • Missed FG

Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 29-yard line.

Panthers drives, last gamevs PHI · Oct 18 · 3 TD, 2 FG, 5 punts, 0 turnovers
10 20 30 40 50 40 30 20 10 Field goal · 5 pl Punt · 5 pl Punt · 4 pl Punt · 5 pl Touchdown · 5 pl End of half · 6 pl Field goal · 11 pl Punt · 3 pl Touchdown · 14 pl Punt · 3 pl Touchdown · 4 pl End of half · 9 pl
  • Touchdown
  • Field goal
  • Punt / half
  • Turnover
  • Missed FG

Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 31-yard line.

Tale of the tape

2026 season through each team's last game. The radar scales each team from the league's worst (centre) to its best (edge); ranks are out of every team that has played.

OffenseDefenseMarginWin %ATS %Last 5
  • Buccaneers
  • Panthers
League rankBuccaneersPanthers
Offense #25#4
Defense #17#21
Margin #24#6
Win % #29#13
ATS % #30#11
Last 5 #26#9
BuccaneersPanthers
1-5 Record 3-2
1-4-1 Against the spread 3-2
3-3 Over / under 2-3
19.8 Points per game 29.2
23.0 Points allowed 24.6
-3.2 Average margin 4.6
0-4 Home record 1-1
1-1 Road record 2-1
0-1 ATS as favorite 2-1
1-3-1 ATS as underdog 1-1
7 Rest days 7
LLLWLLast 5LWLWW
Todd BowlesHead coachDave Canales
KarmaEdge AI
NFL
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB · Away
—
Carolina PanthersCAR · Home
—
Full matchup research

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Unlock full access
NFL
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB · Away
—
Carolina PanthersCAR · Home
—
Full matchup research

Upgrade to view available model projections and explanations for this game.

Unlock full access

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  • RoofOutdoors
  • SurfaceGrass
  • Rest edgeEven (7 days)

Price Lab

Every sportsbook's price, the win rate each needs to break even, the book's hold (its built-in margin) and the no-vig split. Lowest hold first. Lines as of Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET.

Spread ladderPanthers line at each book · bigger dot, more books
Total ladderTotal at each book · bigger dot, more books
Best Buccaneers+3.5 -125Tipico
Best Panthers-2.5 -120PointsBet
Lowest hold3.7%Caesars
Median hold4.7%13 books
BookBuccaneersPanthersHoldNo-vig split
Caesars Lowest hold +3 -122needs 55.0%-3 +105needs 48.8% 3.7% 53.0% · 47.0%
Circa +3 -120needs 54.5%-3 +100needs 50.0% 4.5% 52.2% · 47.8%
DraftKings +3 +100needs 50.0%-3 -120needs 54.5% 4.5% 47.8% · 52.2%
PointsBet +2.5 +100needs 50.0%-2.5 -120needs 54.5% 4.5% 47.8% · 52.2%
BetMGM +3 -118needs 54.1%-3 -102needs 50.5% 4.6% 51.7% · 48.3%
ESPN BET +3 -115needs 53.5%-3 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Fanatics +3 -115needs 53.5%-3 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Hard Rock Bet +3 -115needs 53.5%-3 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
theScore Bet +3 -115needs 53.5%-3 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Bally Bet +3 -114needs 53.3%-3 -107needs 51.7% 5.0% 50.8% · 49.2%
BetRivers +3 -114needs 53.3%-3 -107needs 51.7% 5.0% 50.8% · 49.2%
SugarHouse +3 -114needs 53.3%-3 -107needs 51.7% 5.0% 50.8% · 49.2%
Tipico +3.5 -125needs 55.6%-3.5 -103needs 50.7% 6.3% 52.3% · 47.7%
Best Over44.5 -104Bally Bet
Best Under44.5 -105ESPN BET
Lowest hold4.3%BetMGM
Median hold4.8%12 books
BookOverUnderHoldNo-vig split
BetMGM Lowest hold 44.5 -108needs 51.9%44.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.3% 49.8% · 50.2%
ESPN BET 44.5 -115needs 53.5%44.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Hard Rock Bet 44.5 -115needs 53.5%44.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
theScore Bet 44.5 -115needs 53.5%44.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Caesars 44.5 -110needs 52.4%44.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Circa 44.5 -110needs 52.4%44.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
DraftKings 44.5 -110needs 52.4%44.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
FanDuel 44.5 -110needs 52.4%44.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Fanatics 44.5 -110needs 52.4%44.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Bally Bet 44.5 -104needs 51.0%44.5 -117needs 53.9% 4.9% 48.6% · 51.4%
PointsBet 44.5 -111needs 52.6%44.5 -111needs 52.6% 5.2% 50.0% · 50.0%
Tipico 44.5 -120needs 54.5%44.5 -108needs 51.9% 6.5% 51.2% · 48.8%
Best Buccaneers+136DraftKings
Best Panthers-148Circa
Lowest hold3.3%PointsBet
Median hold4.2%15 books
BookBuccaneersPanthersHoldNo-vig split
PointsBet Lowest hold +130needs 43.5%-149needs 59.8% 3.3% 42.1% · 57.9%
Hard Rock Bet +135needs 42.6%-155needs 60.8% 3.3% 41.2% · 58.8%
ESPN BET +130needs 43.5%-150needs 60.0% 3.5% 42.0% · 58.0%
theScore Bet +130needs 43.5%-150needs 60.0% 3.5% 42.0% · 58.0%
Circa +128needs 43.9%-148needs 59.7% 3.5% 42.4% · 57.6%
BetMGM +135needs 42.6%-160needs 61.5% 4.1% 40.9% · 59.1%
FanDuel +130needs 43.5%-154needs 60.6% 4.1% 41.8% · 58.2%
DraftKings +136needs 42.4%-162needs 61.8% 4.2% 40.7% · 59.3%
Caesars +133needs 42.9%-159needs 61.4% 4.3% 41.1% · 58.9%
Fanatics +125needs 44.4%-150needs 60.0% 4.4% 42.6% · 57.4%
Bally Bet +128needs 43.9%-155needs 60.8% 4.6% 41.9% · 58.1%
BetRivers +128needs 43.9%-155needs 60.8% 4.6% 41.9% · 58.1%
SugarHouse +128needs 43.9%-155needs 60.8% 4.6% 41.9% · 58.1%
BetR Sportsbook +130needs 43.5%-161needs 61.7% 5.2% 41.3% · 58.7%
Tipico +125needs 44.4%-161needs 61.7% 6.1% 41.9% · 58.1%

Break-even is the win rate a price needs to profit over time. Hold is how much the two sides' break-evens add up to over 100%: the lower, the fairer the book. Best prices are highlighted.

Your Number

Drag to the margin and total you expect. The X-Ray lines your number up against every book and shows where it has the most room. Your number, not a KarmaEdge projection.

3pts

Move the slider.

    44.5pts

    Move the slider.

      Room is how many points your number clears each book's line by. "Needs" is the break-even win rate of that book's price. Research, not advice.

      Form

      Scoring margin game by game; each dot is coloured by whether the team covered nflverse's closing spread. Logs below.

      Buccaneers1-5 · ATS 1-4-1 · O/U 3-3
      +8−8 Wk 1 @ CIN: 27-33 · Miss CIN Wk 2 vs CLE: 19-23 · Miss CLE Wk 3 vs MIN: 16-23 · Miss MIN Wk 4 vs GB: 14-17 · Push GB Wk 5 @ DAL: 24-16 · Cover DAL Wk 6 vs PIT: 19-26 · Miss PIT
      • Cover
      • Miss
      • Push
      WkOppScoreLineATSTotal
      6 vs PIT L 19-26 +2.5 Miss O 38.5
      5 @ DAL W 24-16 +9.5 Cover U 49.5
      4 vs GB L 14-17 +3 Push U 38.5
      3 vs MIN L 16-23 +1.5 Miss U 42.5
      2 vs CLE L 19-23 -8.5 Miss O 41.5
      1 @ CIN L 27-33 +3.5 Miss O 50.5
      Panthers3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3
      +31−31 Wk 1 vs CHI: 37-59 · Miss CHI Wk 2 @ ATL: 34-3 · Cover ATL Wk 3 @ CLE: 18-21 · Miss CLE Wk 4 vs DET: 32-26 · Cover DET Wk 6 @ PHI: 25-14 · Cover PHI
      • Cover
      • Miss
      • Push
      WkOppScoreLineATSTotal
      6 @ PHI W 25-14 -3 Cover U 39.5
      4 vs DET W 32-26 +4.5 Cover O 52.5
      3 @ CLE L 18-21 -2.5 Miss U 41.5
      2 @ ATL W 34-3 -2.5 Cover U 43.5
      1 vs CHI L 37-59 +3 Miss O 47.5

      Head to head

      The last 8 meetings in the nflverse schedule (since 1999), newest first. Bars show the winning margin toward the winner's side.

      6Buccaneers wins
      2Panthers wins
      Buccaneers ATS3-5
      Over / under4-4
      Since20228 meetings
      1. 2025Week 18 Buccaneers 16vsPanthers 14 Buccaneers -3MissTotal 43.5Under
      2. 2025Week 16 Buccaneers 20@Panthers 23 Buccaneers -3MissTotal 44.5Under
      3. 2024Week 17 Buccaneers 48vsPanthers 14 Buccaneers -9.5CoverTotal 47.5Over
      4. 2024Week 13 Buccaneers 26@Panthers 23 Buccaneers -6.5MissTotal 46Over
      5. 2023Week 18 Buccaneers 9@Panthers 0 Buccaneers -5CoverTotal 36.5Under
      6. 2023Week 13 Buccaneers 21vsPanthers 18 Buccaneers -4MissTotal 37Over
      7. 2022Week 17 Buccaneers 30vsPanthers 24 Buccaneers -3.5CoverTotal 40.5Over
      8. 2022Week 7 Buccaneers 3@Panthers 21 Buccaneers -13MissTotal 39.5Under

      Lineups

      Each offense against the other defense from the depth charts, and the official injury reports when they are out for this week.

      Panthers defense · Base 3-4

      Buccaneers offense · 11 personnel

      Buccaneers defense · Base 3-4

      Panthers offense · 11 personnel

      Depth charts as of Oct 22, 2026.

      Tampa Bay Buccaneers

      No player with a game status.

      Carolina Panthers

      No player with a game status.

      Moves & props

      DraftKings lines from the open (or the first line KarmaEdge tracked) to now, and this game's player prop lines.

      Moneyline · Buccaneers -120.0136.0 -120 → +136
      Moneyline · Panthers 100.0-162.0 +100 → -162
      Spread · Buccaneers -1.53.0 +4.5
      Spread · Panthers 1.5-3.0 -4.5
      Total · Over 45.544.5 -1
      Total · Under 45.544.5 -1
      • Bryce YoungQB · CAR · Passing Yards 253.5 O -111 DraftKings
        U -108 Caesars
      • Baker MayfieldQB · TB · Passing Yards 215.5 O -114 Bally Bet
        U -114 FanDuel
      • Bucky IrvingRB · TB · Rushing Yards 65.5 O -113 Caesars
        U -111 DraftKings
      • Baker MayfieldQB · TB · Rushing Yards 16.5 O -114 Caesars
        U -110 DraftKings
      • Bryce YoungQB · CAR · Rushing Yards 10.5 O -114 Caesars
        U -114 Caesars
      • Chuba HubbardRB · CAR · Rushing Yards 69.5 O -114 DraftKings
        U -110 DraftKings
      • Kenny GainwellRB · TB · Rushing Yards 11.5 O -105 Caesars
        U -109 DraftKings
      • Sean TuckerRB · TB · Rushing Yards 7.5 O -114 FanDuel
        U -110 Caesars

      All 37 prop lines for this game →

      KarmaEdge.AI is not a sportsbook and never accepts wagers. Lines move; each shows when it was read. Market-implied chances are the sportsbooks' no-vig prices, not a KarmaEdge projection. Results and closing lines are from the nflverse schedule. Research, not guarantees. 18+ and of legal age where you are. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.