AwaySan Francisco 49ersQB Brock Purdy
HomeAtlanta FalconsQB Michael Penix Jr.
San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons Matchup X-Ray
- Spread
- 49ers -2.5
- Total
- 49.5
- 49ers ML
- -148
- Falcons ML
- +132
- Books
- 15
- Odds15 sportsbooks · Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET
- KarmaEdge AIPublished · Premium
- Results & closing linesnflverse · through Week 6
- Line movementDraftKings, open to now
- Play-by-playnflverse · pass zones, run lanes, drives
- Injury reportWeek 7 official reports
On the field
Where the ball goes, from every charted 2026 play (nflverse play-by-play): each offense's passes by zone and runs by lane, over what the other defense allows there. Ranks: 1 = the stingiest defense in that zone. Directions are the offense's left and right.
Every snap is a real play from nflverse play-by-play: the spot, down and distance, pass depth, direction and air yards, run lane, yards gained and result, with nflverse's own play description. The 22 players and their paths are illustrative: public data has no player tracking.
49ers throw short left most (39%, 7.3 Y/A).
Most carries go middle (38%, 4.1 yards a carry); the Falcons allow 4.5 there (#27 of 32).
Falcons throw short left most (34%, 6.1 Y/A). The 49ers are soft short left: 6.4 Y/A allowed, #25 of 32.
Most carries go left guard (20%, 4.5 yards a carry); the 49ers allow 3.9 there (#18 of 32).
- Touchdown
- Field goal
- Punt / half
- Turnover
- Missed FG
Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 24-yard line.
- Touchdown
- Field goal
- Punt / half
- Turnover
- Missed FG
Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 25-yard line.
Tale of the tape
2026 season through each team's last game. The radar scales each team from the league's worst (centre) to its best (edge); ranks are out of every team that has played.
- 49ers
- Falcons
| League rank | 49ers | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offense | #3 | #16 |
| Defense | #4 | #23 |
| Margin | #2 | #21 |
| Win % | #1 | #19 |
| ATS % | #4 | #24 |
| Last 5 | #1 | #17 |
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- SurfaceFieldTurf
- Rest edgeFalcons +1 days
Price Lab
Every sportsbook's price, the win rate each needs to break even, the book's hold (its built-in margin) and the no-vig split. Lowest hold first. Lines as of Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET.
| Book | 49ers | Falcons | Hold | No-vig split |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet Lowest hold | -2.5 -125needs 55.6% | +2.5 +105needs 48.8% | 4.3% | 53.2% · 46.8% |
| Caesars | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| Circa | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| ESPN BET | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| Fanatics | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| PointsBet | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| theScore Bet | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| DraftKings | -2.5 -118needs 54.1% | +2.5 -102needs 50.5% | 4.6% | 51.7% · 48.3% |
| FanDuel | -2.5 -120needs 54.5% | +2.5 -102needs 50.5% | 5.0% | 51.9% · 48.1% |
| Bally Bet | -3 -105needs 51.2% | +3 -117needs 53.9% | 5.1% | 48.7% · 51.3% |
| SugarHouse | -3 -105needs 51.2% | +3 -117needs 53.9% | 5.1% | 48.7% · 51.3% |
| BetRivers | -2.5 -121needs 54.8% | +2.5 -103needs 50.7% | 5.5% | 51.9% · 48.1% |
| Tipico | -2.5 -130needs 56.5% | +2.5 +100needs 50.0% | 6.5% | 53.1% · 46.9% |
| BetMGM | -2.5 -125needs 55.6% | +2.5 -105needs 51.2% | 6.8% | 52.0% · 48.0% |
| Book | Over | Under | Hold | No-vig split |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet Lowest hold | 49.5 -120needs 54.5% | 49.5 +100needs 50.0% | 4.5% | 52.2% · 47.8% |
| DraftKings | 49.5 -115needs 53.5% | 49.5 -105needs 51.2% | 4.7% | 51.1% · 48.9% |
| ESPN BET | 49.5 -115needs 53.5% | 49.5 -105needs 51.2% | 4.7% | 51.1% · 48.9% |
| FanDuel | 49.5 -115needs 53.5% | 49.5 -105needs 51.2% | 4.7% | 51.1% · 48.9% |
| Fanatics | 49.5 -115needs 53.5% | 49.5 -105needs 51.2% | 4.7% | 51.1% · 48.9% |
| theScore Bet | 49.5 -115needs 53.5% | 49.5 -105needs 51.2% | 4.7% | 51.1% · 48.9% |
| Circa | 49.5 -110needs 52.4% | 49.5 -110needs 52.4% | 4.8% | 50.0% · 50.0% |
| Bally Bet | 49.5 -113needs 53.1% | 49.5 -108needs 51.9% | 5.0% | 50.5% · 49.5% |
| BetRivers | 49.5 -113needs 53.1% | 49.5 -108needs 51.9% | 5.0% | 50.5% · 49.5% |
| SugarHouse | 49.5 -113needs 53.1% | 49.5 -108needs 51.9% | 5.0% | 50.5% · 49.5% |
| Tipico | 49.5 -120needs 54.5% | 49.5 -108needs 51.9% | 6.5% | 51.2% · 48.8% |
| BetMGM | 49.5 -120needs 54.5% | 49.5 -110needs 52.4% | 6.9% | 51.0% · 49.0% |
| Book | 49ers | Falcons | Hold | No-vig split |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet Lowest hold | -149needs 59.8% | +130needs 43.5% | 3.3% | 57.9% · 42.1% |
| ESPN BET | -150needs 60.0% | +130needs 43.5% | 3.5% | 58.0% · 42.0% |
| Hard Rock Bet | -150needs 60.0% | +130needs 43.5% | 3.5% | 58.0% · 42.0% |
| theScore Bet | -150needs 60.0% | +130needs 43.5% | 3.5% | 58.0% · 42.0% |
| Circa | -148needs 59.7% | +128needs 43.9% | 3.5% | 57.6% · 42.4% |
| FanDuel | -148needs 59.7% | +126needs 44.2% | 3.9% | 57.4% · 42.6% |
| Caesars | -148needs 59.7% | +125needs 44.4% | 4.1% | 57.3% · 42.7% |
| DraftKings | -148needs 59.7% | +124needs 44.6% | 4.3% | 57.2% · 42.8% |
| BetMGM | -150needs 60.0% | +125needs 44.4% | 4.4% | 57.4% · 42.6% |
| Fanatics | -150needs 60.0% | +125needs 44.4% | 4.4% | 57.4% · 42.6% |
| Bally Bet | -159needs 61.4% | +132needs 43.1% | 4.5% | 58.8% · 41.2% |
| BetRivers | -159needs 61.4% | +132needs 43.1% | 4.5% | 58.8% · 41.2% |
| SugarHouse | -159needs 61.4% | +132needs 43.1% | 4.5% | 58.8% · 41.2% |
| BetR Sportsbook | -156needs 60.9% | +125needs 44.4% | 5.4% | 57.8% · 42.2% |
| Tipico | -161needs 61.7% | +125needs 44.4% | 6.1% | 58.1% · 41.9% |
Break-even is the win rate a price needs to profit over time. Hold is how much the two sides' break-evens add up to over 100%: the lower, the fairer the book. Best prices are highlighted.
Your Number
Drag to the margin and total you expect. The X-Ray lines your number up against every book and shows where it has the most room. Your number, not a KarmaEdge projection.
Move the slider.
Move the slider.
Room is how many points your number clears each book's line by. "Needs" is the break-even win rate of that book's price. Research, not advice.
Form
Scoring margin game by game; each dot is coloured by whether the team covered nflverse's closing spread. Logs below.
49ers6-0 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3- Cover
- Miss
- Push
| Wk | Opp | Score | Line | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | vs WAS | W 23-17 | -7.5 | Miss | U 51.5 |
| 5 | @ SEA | W 32-29 | +3 | Cover | O 46.5 |
| 4 | vs DEN | W 24-14 | -3 | Cover | U 48.5 |
| 3 | vs ARI | W 36-30 | -7.5 | Miss | O 48.5 |
| 2 | vs MIA | W 35-13 | -12.5 | Cover | O 44.5 |
| 1 | @ LAR | W 27-7 | +3.5 | Cover | U 47.5 |
Falcons2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2- Cover
- Miss
- Push
| Wk | Opp | Score | Line | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | vs CHI | L 23-31 | +1.5 | Miss | O 51.5 |
| 5 | vs BAL | L 23-30 | -3.5 | Miss | O 44.5 |
| 4 | @ NO | W 45-24 | +1.5 | Cover | O 47.5 |
| 3 | @ GB | W 35-14 | +4.5 | Cover | O 43.5 |
| 2 | vs CAR | L 3-34 | +2.5 | Miss | U 43.5 |
| 1 | @ PIT | L 13-20 | +6.5 | Miss | U 40.5 |
Head to head
The last 8 meetings in the nflverse schedule (since 1999), newest first. Bars show the winning margin toward the winner's side.
- 2025Week 7 49ers 20vsFalcons 10 49ers -1.5CoverTotal 46.5Under
- 2022Week 6 49ers 14@Falcons 28 49ers -3.5MissTotal 46Under
- 2021Week 15 49ers 31vsFalcons 13 49ers -9.5CoverTotal 48Under
- 2019Week 15 49ers 22vsFalcons 29 49ers -10.5MissTotal 50Over
- 2016Week 15 49ers 13@Falcons 41 49ers +13.5MissTotal 51.5Over
- 2015Week 9 49ers 17vsFalcons 16 49ers +9.5CoverTotal 43.5Under
- 2013Week 16 49ers 34vsFalcons 24 49ers -15.5MissTotal 46Over
- 2012CON 49ers 28@Falcons 24 49ers -3.5CoverTotal 47.5Over
Lineups
Each offense against the other defense from the depth charts, and the official injury reports when they are out for this week.
Falcons defense · Base 3-4
- #94 LaCale London
- #90 Da'Shawn Hand
- #69 Anterio Thompson
- #96 Zach Harrison
- #55 Za'Darius Smith
- #22 Yasir Abdullah
- #11 Jalon Walker
- #42 Josh Woods
- #56 Harold Perkins Jr.
- #45 Christian Harris
- #40 JD Bertrand
- #51 Jared Ivey
- #93 Charles Snowden
- #27 James Pearce Jr.
- #12 Avieon Terrell
- #36 Malcolm DeWalt IV
- #24 A.J. Terrell Jr.
- #23 DeMarcco Hellams
- #28 Mike Ford Jr.
- #37 Robert Longerbeam
- #10 Mac Jones
- #14 Kurtis Rourke
- #26 Kaelon Black
- #29 Jordan James
- #31 Isaac Guerendo
- #17 Jordan Watkins
- #11 Demarcus Robinson
- Brandon Aiyuk
- #4 Jacob Cowing
- #7 De'Zhaun Stribling
- #3 Christian Kirk
- #1 Ricky Pearsall
- #89 Luke Farrell
- #9 Brayden Willis
- #88 Jake Tonges
- #76 Vederian Lowe
- #69 Enrique Cruz Jr.
- #62 Austen Pleasants
- #74 Carver Willis
- #63 Nick Zakelj
- #58 Jarrett Patterson
- #74 Carver Willis
- #69 Enrique Cruz Jr.
49ers offense · 11 personnel
49ers defense · Base 4-3
- #94 Romello Height
- #47 Khalid Kareem
- #91 Sam Okuayinonu
- #55 Sebastian Valdez
- #99 C.J. West
- James Thompson Jr.
- #95 Alfred Collins
- #98 Mykel Williams
- #59 Ogbo Okoronkwo
- #50 Andrew Farmer II
- #49 Garret Wallow
- #48 Tatum Bethune
- #45 Nick Martin
- #51 Luke Gifford
- #25 Jack Jones
- #6 Malik Mustapha
- #24 Ashtyn Davis
- #33 Siran Neal
- #29 Darrick Forrest
- #28 Ephesians Prysock
- #22 Nate Hobbs
- #1 Tua Tagovailoa
- #13 Andy Dalton
- #18 Jack Strand
- #15 Brian Robinson Jr.
- #44 Trey Sermon
- #17 Zachariah Branch
- #19 Chris Blair
- #88 Beaux Collins
- #89 Charlie Woerner
- #81 Austin Hooper
- #87 Nick Muse
- #72 Michael Jerrell
- #73 Cameron Williams
- #68 Kyle Hinton
- #62 Corey Levin
- #72 Michael Jerrell
- #75 Ethan Onianwa
- #77 Storm Norton
Falcons offense · 11 personnel
Depth charts as of Oct 22, 2026.
San Francisco 49ers
No player with a game status.
Atlanta Falcons
No player with a game status.
Moves & props
DraftKings lines from the open (or the first line KarmaEdge tracked) to now, and this game's player prop lines.
-
Brock PurdyQB · SF · Passing Yards
240.5
O -110 Fanatics
U -114 FanDuel -
Michael PenixQB · ATL · Passing Yards
227.5
O -114 FanDuel
U -113 Caesars -
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL · Rushing Yards
87.5
O -112 Caesars
U -114 FanDuel -
Brock PurdyQB · SF · Rushing Yards
19.5
O -114 FanDuel
U -109 DraftKings -
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF · Rushing Yards
60.5
O -110 Fanatics
U -114 FanDuel -
Michael PenixQB · ATL · Rushing Yards
1.5
O -104 DraftKings
U -114 Caesars -
Brian RobinsonRB · ATL · Rushing Yards
25.5
O -135 Fanatics
U +100 Fanatics -
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL · Receiving Yards
27.5
O -114 Caesars
U -108 DraftKings
KarmaEdge.AI is not a sportsbook and never accepts wagers. Lines move; each shows when it was read. Market-implied chances are the sportsbooks' no-vig prices, not a KarmaEdge projection. Results and closing lines are from the nflverse schedule. Research, not guarantees. 18+ and of legal age where you are. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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