Matchup X-Ray · Week 7 Watch the 3D replayGame page →
AwayIndianapolis ColtsQB Daniel Jones
vs 29% 71% Market-implied win chance · no-vig, 15 books U.S. Bank Stadium · Dome
HomeMinnesota VikingsQB Kyler Murray

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Matchup X-Ray

Spread
Vikings -6.5
Total
41.5
Colts ML
+240
Vikings ML
-278
Books
15
  • Odds15 sportsbooks · Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET
  • KarmaEdge AIPublished · Premium
  • Results & closing linesnflverse · through Week 6
  • Line movementDraftKings, open to now
  • Play-by-playnflverse · pass zones, run lanes, drives
  • Injury reportWeek 7 official reports

On the field

Where the ball goes, from every charted 2026 play (nflverse play-by-play): each offense's passes by zone and runs by lane, over what the other defense allows there. Ranks: 1 = the stingiest defense in that zone. Directions are the offense's left and right.

3D replay · last game
—

Every snap is a real play from nflverse play-by-play: the spot, down and distance, pass depth, direction and air yards, run lane, yards gained and result, with nflverse's own play description. The 22 players and their paths are illustrative: public data has no player tracking.

Passing217 charted throws in 6 games
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE DEEP · 20+ AIR YDSSHORT 7% 5.3 Y/A · 19% cmp Vikings allow 7.9 · #6 4% 12.1 Y/A · 44% cmp Vikings allow 20.1 · #22 6% 6.5 Y/A · 21% cmp Vikings allow 7.8 · #8 32% 5.2 Y/A · 72% cmp · 1 TD Vikings allow 5.8 · #18 16% 6.6 Y/A · 66% cmp · 2 TD Vikings allow 5.3 · #3 34% 5.6 Y/A · 64% cmp · 1 TD Vikings allow 4.2 · #2 QB

Colts throw short right most (34%, 5.6 Y/A).

Running164 charted carries
YARDS PER CARRY → 4.3 10% L End 3.9 #9 4.9 11% L Tackle 8.1 #32 3.8 15% L Guard 3.1 #8 3.1 20% Middle 2.2 #1 3.2 8% R Guard 3.9 #20 4.1 20% R Tackle 2.9 #9 5.3 16% R End 2.6 #1 RB VIKINGS ALLOW · RANK

Most carries go middle (20%, 3.1 yards a carry); the Vikings allow 2.2 there (#1 of 32).

Passing139 charted throws in 5 games
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE DEEP · 20+ AIR YDSSHORT 10% 15.3 Y/A · 50% cmp · 2 TD Colts allow 15.2 · #28 4% 7.6 Y/A · 40% cmp · 1 TD Colts allow 9.0 · #5 7% 8.2 Y/A · 40% cmp Colts allow 11.0 · #16 29% 5.1 Y/A · 72% cmp · 2 TD Colts allow 6.2 · #24 18% 7.1 Y/A · 72% cmp Colts allow 8.7 · #27 32% 4.9 Y/A · 71% cmp · 1 TD Colts allow 5.9 · #22 QB

Vikings throw short right most (32%, 4.9 Y/A). The Colts are soft short right: 5.9 Y/A allowed, #22 of 32.

Running141 charted carries
YARDS PER CARRY → 5.0 14% L End 7.5 #30 3.4 11% L Tackle 6.2 #30 2.8 8% L Guard 7.0 #32 3.5 23% Middle 3.8 #19 3.1 20% R Guard 4.7 #25 6.5 12% R Tackle 2.4 #4 6.4 12% R End 5.2 #20 RB COLTS ALLOW · RANK

Most carries go middle (23%, 3.5 yards a carry); the Colts allow 3.8 there (#19 of 32).

Colts drives, last gamevs TEN · Oct 18 · 2 TD, 2 FG, 1 punts, 5 turnovers
10 20 30 40 50 40 30 20 10 Turnover · 13 pl Touchdown · 7 pl Field goal · 12 pl Field goal · 5 pl Turnover · 1 pl Turnover · 11 pl Punt · 5 pl Defensive TD · 5 pl Touchdown · 8 pl Turnover on downs · 5 pl Turnover on downs · 6 pl
  • Touchdown
  • Field goal
  • Punt / half
  • Turnover
  • Missed FG

Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 29-yard line.

Vikings drives, last gamevs NO · Oct 11 · 2 TD, 3 FG, 3 punts, 1 turnovers
10 20 30 40 50 40 30 20 10 Field goal · 8 pl Turnover · 11 pl Punt · 3 pl Punt · 3 pl Field goal · 6 pl Touchdown · 6 pl Defensive TD · 9 pl Touchdown · 6 pl Field goal · 8 pl Punt · 3 pl End of half · 5 pl
  • Touchdown
  • Field goal
  • Punt / half
  • Turnover
  • Missed FG

Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 41-yard line.

Tale of the tape

2026 season through each team's last game. The radar scales each team from the league's worst (centre) to its best (edge); ranks are out of every team that has played.

OffenseDefenseMarginWin %ATS %Last 5
  • Colts
  • Vikings
League rankColtsVikings
Offense #14#22
Defense #27#1
Margin #25#3
Win % #19#1
ATS % #14#2
Last 5 #17#1
ColtsVikings
2-4 Record 5-0
3-3 Against the spread 4-1
4-2 Over / under 1-4
24.0 Points per game 21.8
27.3 Points allowed 12.8
-3.3 Average margin 9.0
1-2 Home record 2-0
1-2 Road record 3-0
1-1 ATS as favorite 3-1
2-2 ATS as underdog 1-0
7 Rest days 14
LWWLLLast 5WWWWW
Shane SteichenHead coachKevin O'Connell
KarmaEdge AI
NFL
Indianapolis ColtsIND · Away
—
Minnesota VikingsMIN · Home
—
Full matchup research

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NFL
Indianapolis ColtsIND · Away
—
Minnesota VikingsMIN · Home
—
Full matchup research

Upgrade to view available model projections and explanations for this game.

Unlock full access

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  • RoofDome
  • SurfaceSportTurf
  • Rest edgeVikings +7 days

Price Lab

Every sportsbook's price, the win rate each needs to break even, the book's hold (its built-in margin) and the no-vig split. Lowest hold first. Lines as of Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET.

Spread ladderVikings line at each book · bigger dot, more books
Total ladderTotal at each book · bigger dot, more books
Best Colts+6.5 -110BetMGM
Best Vikings-6.5 +100Hard Rock Bet
Lowest hold4.3%BetMGM
Median hold4.8%14 books
BookColtsVikingsHoldNo-vig split
BetMGM Lowest hold +6.5 -110needs 52.4%-6.5 -108needs 51.9% 4.3% 50.2% · 49.8%
Hard Rock Bet +6.5 -120needs 54.5%-6.5 +100needs 50.0% 4.5% 52.2% · 47.8%
ESPN BET +6.5 -115needs 53.5%-6.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
FanDuel +6.5 -115needs 53.5%-6.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
theScore Bet +6.5 -115needs 53.5%-6.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Caesars +6.5 -112needs 52.8%-6.5 -108needs 51.9% 4.8% 50.4% · 49.6%
DraftKings +6.5 -112needs 52.8%-6.5 -108needs 51.9% 4.8% 50.4% · 49.6%
Circa +6.5 -110needs 52.4%-6.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Fanatics +6.5 -110needs 52.4%-6.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Bally Bet +6.5 -112needs 52.8%-6.5 -109needs 52.2% 5.0% 50.3% · 49.7%
BetRivers +6.5 -112needs 52.8%-6.5 -109needs 52.2% 5.0% 50.3% · 49.7%
SugarHouse +6.5 -112needs 52.8%-6.5 -109needs 52.2% 5.0% 50.3% · 49.7%
PointsBet +6.5 -111needs 52.6%-6.5 -111needs 52.6% 5.2% 50.0% · 50.0%
Tipico +6.5 -111needs 52.6%-6.5 -115needs 53.5% 6.1% 49.6% · 50.4%
Best Over41.5 -108BetMGM
Best Under41.5 -107Caesars
Lowest hold4.3%BetMGM
Median hold4.8%12 books
BookOverUnderHoldNo-vig split
BetMGM Lowest hold 41.5 -108needs 51.9%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.3% 49.8% · 50.2%
Caesars 41.5 -113needs 53.1%41.5 -107needs 51.7% 4.7% 50.6% · 49.4%
DraftKings 41.5 -110needs 52.4%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
ESPN BET 41.5 -110needs 52.4%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
FanDuel 41.5 -110needs 52.4%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Fanatics 41.5 -110needs 52.4%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Hard Rock Bet 41.5 -110needs 52.4%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
theScore Bet 41.5 -110needs 52.4%41.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Bally Bet 41.5 -112needs 52.8%41.5 -109needs 52.2% 5.0% 50.3% · 49.7%
BetRivers 41.5 -112needs 52.8%41.5 -109needs 52.2% 5.0% 50.3% · 49.7%
SugarHouse 41.5 -112needs 52.8%41.5 -109needs 52.2% 5.0% 50.3% · 49.7%
PointsBet 41.5 -111needs 52.6%41.5 -111needs 52.6% 5.2% 50.0% · 50.0%
Best Colts+240ESPN BET
Best Vikings-278PointsBet
Lowest hold3.5%Circa
Median hold4.3%15 books
BookColtsVikingsHoldNo-vig split
Circa Lowest hold +235needs 29.9%-280needs 73.7% 3.5% 28.8% · 71.2%
ESPN BET +240needs 29.4%-290needs 74.4% 3.8% 28.3% · 71.7%
theScore Bet +240needs 29.4%-290needs 74.4% 3.8% 28.3% · 71.7%
PointsBet +230needs 30.3%-278needs 73.5% 3.8% 29.2% · 70.8%
FanDuel +240needs 29.4%-295needs 74.7% 4.1% 28.3% · 71.7%
BetMGM +230needs 30.3%-285needs 74.0% 4.3% 29.0% · 71.0%
DraftKings +230needs 30.3%-285needs 74.0% 4.3% 29.0% · 71.0%
Fanatics +230needs 30.3%-285needs 74.0% 4.3% 29.0% · 71.0%
Caesars +225needs 30.8%-280needs 73.7% 4.5% 29.5% · 70.5%
BetR Sportsbook +230needs 30.3%-294needs 74.6% 4.9% 28.9% · 71.1%
Hard Rock Bet +230needs 30.3%-300needs 75.0% 5.3% 28.8% · 71.2%
Bally Bet +225needs 30.8%-295needs 74.7% 5.5% 29.2% · 70.8%
BetRivers +225needs 30.8%-295needs 74.7% 5.5% 29.2% · 70.8%
SugarHouse +225needs 30.8%-295needs 74.7% 5.5% 29.2% · 70.8%
Tipico +230needs 30.3%-312needs 75.7% 6.0% 28.6% · 71.4%

Break-even is the win rate a price needs to profit over time. Hold is how much the two sides' break-evens add up to over 100%: the lower, the fairer the book. Best prices are highlighted.

Your Number

Drag to the margin and total you expect. The X-Ray lines your number up against every book and shows where it has the most room. Your number, not a KarmaEdge projection.

3pts

Move the slider.

    41.5pts

    Move the slider.

      Room is how many points your number clears each book's line by. "Needs" is the break-even win rate of that book's price. Research, not advice.

      Form

      Scoring margin game by game; each dot is coloured by whether the team covered nflverse's closing spread. Logs below.

      Colts2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
      +18−18 Wk 1 vs BAL: 23-41 · Miss BAL Wk 2 @ KC: 30-33 · Cover KC Wk 3 vs HOU: 19-17 · Cover HOU Wk 4 @ WAS: 30-13 · Cover WAS Wk 5 @ PIT: 22-34 · Miss PIT Wk 6 vs TEN: 20-26 · Miss TEN
      • Cover
      • Miss
      • Push
      WkOppScoreLineATSTotal
      6 vs TEN L 20-26 -6.5 Miss O 43.5
      5 @ PIT L 22-34 +3 Miss O 41.5
      4 @ WAS W 30-13 -4.5 Cover U 46.5
      3 vs HOU W 19-17 +1.5 Cover U 41.5
      2 @ KC L 30-33 +6 Cover O 46.5
      1 vs BAL L 23-41 +3 Miss O 48.5
      Vikings5-0 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 1-4
      +17−17 Wk 1 vs GB: 39-22 · Cover GB Wk 2 @ CHI: 9-3 · Cover CHI Wk 3 @ TB: 23-16 · Cover TB Wk 4 vs MIA: 15-10 · Miss MIA Wk 5 @ NO: 23-13 · Cover NO
      • Cover
      • Miss
      • Push
      WkOppScoreLineATSTotal
      5 @ NO W 23-13 -2.5 Cover U 41.5
      4 vs MIA W 15-10 -10 Miss U 38.5
      3 @ TB W 23-16 -1.5 Cover U 42.5
      2 @ CHI W 9-3 +4.5 Cover U 46.5
      1 vs GB W 39-22 -1.5 Cover O 46.5

      Head to head

      The last 8 meetings in the nflverse schedule (since 1999), newest first. Bars show the winning margin toward the winner's side.

      6Colts wins
      2Vikings wins
      Colts ATS6-2
      Over / under2-6
      Since20008 meetings
      1. 2024Week 9 Colts 13@Vikings 21 Colts +6.5MissTotal 47Under
      2. 2022Week 15 Colts 36@Vikings 39 Colts +3.5CoverTotal 46.5Over
      3. 2020Week 2 Colts 28vsVikings 11 Colts -3.5CoverTotal 49Under
      4. 2016Week 15 Colts 34@Vikings 6 Colts +5CoverTotal 44.5Under
      5. 2012Week 2 Colts 23vsVikings 20 Colts +3CoverTotal 45.5Under
      6. 2008Week 2 Colts 18@Vikings 15 Colts -1CoverTotal 43.5Under
      7. 2004Week 9 Colts 31vsVikings 28 Colts -7MissTotal 58Over
      8. 2000Week 17 Colts 31vsVikings 10 Colts -3CoverTotal 53.5Under

      Lineups

      Each offense against the other defense from the depth charts, and the official injury reports when they are out for this week.

      Vikings defense · Base 3-4

      Colts offense · 11 personnel

      Colts defense · Base 4-3

      Vikings offense · 11 personnel

      Depth charts as of Oct 22, 2026.

      Indianapolis Colts

      No player with a game status.

      Minnesota Vikings

      No player with a game status.

      Moves & props

      DraftKings lines from the open (or the first line KarmaEdge tracked) to now, and this game's player prop lines.

      Moneyline · Colts 130.0230.0 +100
      Moneyline · Vikings -155.0-285.0 -130
      Spread · Colts 3.06.5 +3.5
      Spread · Vikings -3.0-6.5 -3.5
      Total · Over 47.541.5 -6
      Total · Under 47.541.5 -6
      • Daniel JonesQB · IND · Passing Yards 193.5 O -114 FanDuel
        U -113 Caesars
      • Kyler MurrayQB · MIN · Passing Yards 205.5 O -113 Caesars
        U -114 FanDuel
      • Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN · Rushing Yards 40.5 O -114 FanDuel
        U -110 DraftKings
      • Daniel JonesQB · IND · Rushing Yards 6.5 O -113 DraftKings
        U -111 DraftKings
      • Jonathan TaylorRB · IND · Rushing Yards 70.5 O -113 Caesars
        U +100 Fanatics
      • Jordan MasonRB · MIN · Rushing Yards 46.5 O -112 DraftKings
        U -112 Caesars
      • Kyler MurrayQB · MIN · Rushing Yards 24.5 O -114 FanDuel
        U -110 Caesars
      • Jordan AddisonWR · MIN · Receiving Yards 43.5 O -109 DraftKings
        U -114 FanDuel

      All 27 prop lines for this game →

      KarmaEdge.AI is not a sportsbook and never accepts wagers. Lines move; each shows when it was read. Market-implied chances are the sportsbooks' no-vig prices, not a KarmaEdge projection. Results and closing lines are from the nflverse schedule. Research, not guarantees. 18+ and of legal age where you are. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.