Matchup X-Ray · Week 7 · Division game Watch the 3D replayGame page →
AwayGreen Bay PackersQB Jordan Love
vs 39% 61% Market-implied win chance · no-vig, 15 books Ford Field · Dome
HomeDetroit LionsQB Jared Goff

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Matchup X-Ray

Spread
Lions -3.5
Total
53.5
Packers ML
+165
Lions ML
-162
Books
15
  • Odds15 sportsbooks · Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET
  • KarmaEdge AIPublished · Premium
  • Results & closing linesnflverse · through Week 6
  • Line movementDraftKings, open to now
  • Play-by-playnflverse · pass zones, run lanes, drives
  • Injury reportWeek 7 official reports

On the field

Where the ball goes, from every charted 2026 play (nflverse play-by-play): each offense's passes by zone and runs by lane, over what the other defense allows there. Ranks: 1 = the stingiest defense in that zone. Directions are the offense's left and right.

3D replay · last game
—

Every snap is a real play from nflverse play-by-play: the spot, down and distance, pass depth, direction and air yards, run lane, yards gained and result, with nflverse's own play description. The 22 players and their paths are illustrative: public data has no player tracking.

Passing226 charted throws in 6 games
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE DEEP · 20+ AIR YDSSHORT 8% 11.5 Y/A · 35% cmp · 1 TD Lions allow 11.3 · #17 6% 25.3 Y/A · 64% cmp · 2 TD Lions allow 16.4 · #17 8% 11.9 Y/A · 33% cmp Lions allow 17.5 · #29 26% 5.7 Y/A · 68% cmp Lions allow 4.8 · #5 20% 5.8 Y/A · 64% cmp · 3 TD Lions allow 8.9 · #29 33% 4.4 Y/A · 62% cmp · 5 TD Lions allow 5.3 · #15 QB

Packers throw short right most (33%, 4.4 Y/A). The Lions are soft short middle: 8.9 Y/A allowed, #29 of 32.

Running117 charted carries
YARDS PER CARRY → 3.6 14% L End 4.6 #14 4.3 22% L Tackle 4.8 #17 3.4 12% L Guard 6.0 #30 2.0 23% Middle 4.1 #23 2.9 11% R Guard 4.5 #24 3.0 12% R Tackle 4.3 #21 3.6 6% R End 4.4 #10 RB LIONS ALLOW · RANK

Most carries go middle (23%, 2.0 yards a carry); the Lions allow 4.1 there (#23 of 32).

Passing191 charted throws in 5 games
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE DEEP · 20+ AIR YDSSHORT 6% 20.2 Y/A · 75% cmp Packers allow 12.9 · #23 6% 8.5 Y/A · 27% cmp · 1 TD Packers allow 6.4 · #3 8% 11.5 Y/A · 40% cmp · 2 TD Packers allow 6.0 · #5 33% 5.0 Y/A · 63% cmp · 4 TD Packers allow 5.0 · #8 18% 8.8 Y/A · 86% cmp Packers allow 6.0 · #4 29% 6.4 Y/A · 73% cmp · 5 TD Packers allow 5.4 · #16 QB

Lions throw short left most (33%, 5.0 Y/A).

Running126 charted carries
YARDS PER CARRY → 3.4 7% L End 7.0 #27 6.0 16% L Tackle 3.4 #6 4.1 9% L Guard 2.8 #2 3.5 34% Middle 3.5 #10 3.0 7% R Guard 2.4 #2 5.2 18% R Tackle 4.0 #19 7.4 9% R End 5.3 #21 RB PACKERS ALLOW · RANK

Most carries go middle (34%, 3.5 yards a carry); the Packers allow 3.5 there (#10 of 32).

Packers drives, last gamevs DAL · Oct 18 · 2 TD, 3 FG, 3 punts, 1 turnovers
10 20 30 40 50 40 30 20 10 Touchdown · 14 pl Turnover · 2 pl Field goal · 14 pl Touchdown · 9 pl Punt · 3 pl Field goal · 10 pl Punt · 3 pl Field goal · 8 pl Punt · 5 pl End of half · 2 pl
  • Touchdown
  • Field goal
  • Punt / half
  • Turnover
  • Missed FG

Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 27-yard line.

Lions drives, last gamevs ARI · Oct 11 · 6 TD, 1 FG, 4 punts, 0 turnovers
10 20 30 40 50 40 30 20 10 Punt · 3 pl Punt · 3 pl Punt · 3 pl Touchdown · 7 pl Touchdown · 4 pl Touchdown · 9 pl Field goal · 7 pl Touchdown · 5 pl Touchdown · 8 pl Touchdown · 13 pl Punt · 3 pl
  • Touchdown
  • Field goal
  • Punt / half
  • Turnover
  • Missed FG

Own goal line on the left; each line is a drive from where it started to where the ball ended. Average start: own 36-yard line.

Tale of the tape

2026 season through each team's last game. The radar scales each team from the league's worst (centre) to its best (edge); ranks are out of every team that has played.

OffenseDefenseMarginWin %ATS %Last 5
  • Packers
  • Lions
League rankPackersLions
Offense #23#1
Defense #10#30
Margin #14#12
Win % #5#13
ATS % #21#28
Last 5 #4#9
PackersLions
4-2 Record 3-2
2-3-1 Against the spread 1-3-1
2-4 Over / under 5-0
21.2 Points per game 32.8
20.8 Points allowed 29.6
0.3 Average margin 3.2
2-1 Home record 2-0
2-1 Road record 1-2
0-2-1 ATS as favorite 1-2-1
2-1 ATS as underdog 0-1
7 Rest days 14
WLWWWLast 5WLWLW
Matt LaFleurHead coachDan Campbell
KarmaEdge AI
NFL
Green Bay PackersGB · Away
—
Detroit LionsDET · Home
—
Full matchup research

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Unlock full access
NFL
Green Bay PackersGB · Away
—
Detroit LionsDET · Home
—
Full matchup research

Upgrade to view available model projections and explanations for this game.

Unlock full access

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  • RoofDome
  • SurfaceFieldTurf
  • Rest edgeLions +7 days

Price Lab

Every sportsbook's price, the win rate each needs to break even, the book's hold (its built-in margin) and the no-vig split. Lowest hold first. Lines as of Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET.

Spread ladderLions line at each book · bigger dot, more books
Total ladderTotal at each book · bigger dot, more books
Best Packers+3.5 -110Circa
Best Lions-3 -115Bally Bet
Lowest hold4.3%PointsBet
Median hold4.8%14 books
BookPackersLionsHoldNo-vig split
PointsBet Lowest hold +3.5 -125needs 55.6%-3.5 +105needs 48.8% 4.3% 53.2% · 46.8%
Caesars +3.5 -117needs 53.9%-3.5 -103needs 50.7% 4.7% 51.5% · 48.5%
DraftKings +3 -105needs 51.2%-3 -115needs 53.5% 4.7% 48.9% · 51.1%
Fanatics +3.5 -115needs 53.5%-3.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Hard Rock Bet +3.5 -115needs 53.5%-3.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
BetRivers +3.5 -121needs 54.8%-3.5 +100needs 50.0% 4.8% 52.3% · 47.7%
Circa +3.5 -110needs 52.4%-3.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
ESPN BET +3.5 -110needs 52.4%-3.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
theScore Bet +3.5 -110needs 52.4%-3.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Bally Bet +3 -106needs 51.5%-3 -115needs 53.5% 4.9% 49.0% · 51.0%
SugarHouse +3 -106needs 51.5%-3 -115needs 53.5% 4.9% 49.0% · 51.0%
FanDuel +3 +100needs 50.0%-3 -122needs 55.0% 5.0% 47.6% · 52.4%
Tipico +3.5 -120needs 54.5%-3.5 -108needs 51.9% 6.5% 51.2% · 48.8%
BetMGM +3.5 -125needs 55.6%-3.5 -105needs 51.2% 6.8% 52.0% · 48.0%
Best Over52.5 -120FanDuel
Best Under53.5 -105DraftKings
Lowest hold4.3%BetMGM
Median hold4.8%14 books
BookOverUnderHoldNo-vig split
BetMGM Lowest hold 53.5 -110needs 52.4%53.5 -108needs 51.9% 4.3% 50.2% · 49.8%
DraftKings 53.5 -115needs 53.5%53.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
ESPN BET 53.5 -115needs 53.5%53.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
theScore Bet 53.5 -115needs 53.5%53.5 -105needs 51.2% 4.7% 51.1% · 48.9%
Caesars 53.5 -110needs 52.4%53.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Circa 53.5 -110needs 52.4%53.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Fanatics 53.5 -110needs 52.4%53.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Hard Rock Bet 53.5 -110needs 52.4%53.5 -110needs 52.4% 4.8% 50.0% · 50.0%
Bally Bet 53.5 -108needs 51.9%53.5 -113needs 53.1% 5.0% 49.5% · 50.5%
BetRivers 53.5 -108needs 51.9%53.5 -113needs 53.1% 5.0% 49.5% · 50.5%
SugarHouse 53.5 -108needs 51.9%53.5 -113needs 53.1% 5.0% 49.5% · 50.5%
FanDuel 52.5 -120needs 54.5%52.5 -102needs 50.5% 5.0% 51.9% · 48.1%
PointsBet 53.5 -111needs 52.6%53.5 -111needs 52.6% 5.2% 50.0% · 50.0%
Tipico 53.5 -111needs 52.6%53.5 -115needs 53.5% 6.1% 49.6% · 50.4%
Best Packers+165Circa
Best Lions-162Bally Bet
Lowest hold3.3%Circa
Median hold4.4%15 books
BookPackersLionsHoldNo-vig split
Circa Lowest hold +165needs 37.7%-190needs 65.5% 3.3% 36.5% · 63.5%
FanDuel +148needs 40.3%-176needs 63.8% 4.1% 38.7% · 61.3%
ESPN BET +155needs 39.2%-185needs 64.9% 4.1% 37.7% · 62.3%
theScore Bet +155needs 39.2%-185needs 64.9% 4.1% 37.7% · 62.3%
Caesars +150needs 40.0%-179needs 64.2% 4.2% 38.4% · 61.6%
DraftKings +142needs 41.3%-170needs 63.0% 4.3% 39.6% · 60.4%
Hard Rock Bet +150needs 40.0%-180needs 64.3% 4.3% 38.4% · 61.6%
Bally Bet +135needs 42.6%-162needs 61.8% 4.4% 40.8% · 59.2%
BetRivers +135needs 42.6%-162needs 61.8% 4.4% 40.8% · 59.2%
SugarHouse +135needs 42.6%-162needs 61.8% 4.4% 40.8% · 59.2%
PointsBet +145needs 40.8%-175needs 63.6% 4.5% 39.1% · 60.9%
Fanatics +155needs 39.2%-190needs 65.5% 4.7% 37.4% · 62.6%
BetMGM +140needs 41.7%-175needs 63.6% 5.3% 39.6% · 60.4%
BetR Sportsbook +145needs 40.8%-182needs 64.5% 5.4% 38.7% · 61.3%
Tipico +140needs 41.7%-182needs 64.5% 6.2% 39.2% · 60.8%

Break-even is the win rate a price needs to profit over time. Hold is how much the two sides' break-evens add up to over 100%: the lower, the fairer the book. Best prices are highlighted.

Your Number

Drag to the margin and total you expect. The X-Ray lines your number up against every book and shows where it has the most room. Your number, not a KarmaEdge projection.

3pts

Move the slider.

    53.5pts

    Move the slider.

      Room is how many points your number clears each book's line by. "Needs" is the break-even win rate of that book's price. Research, not advice.

      Form

      Scoring margin game by game; each dot is coloured by whether the team covered nflverse's closing spread. Logs below.

      Packers4-2 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 2-4
      +24−24 Wk 1 @ MIN: 22-39 · Miss MIN Wk 2 @ NYJ: 20-17 · Miss NYJ Wk 3 vs ATL: 14-35 · Miss ATL Wk 4 @ TB: 17-14 · Push TB Wk 5 vs CHI: 31-7 · Cover CHI Wk 6 vs DAL: 23-13 · Cover DAL
      • Cover
      • Miss
      • Push
      WkOppScoreLineATSTotal
      6 vs DAL W 23-13 +1.5 Cover U 53.5
      5 vs CHI W 31-7 +1.5 Cover U 46.5
      4 @ TB W 17-14 -3 Push U 38.5
      3 vs ATL L 14-35 -4.5 Miss O 43.5
      2 @ NYJ W 20-17 -3.5 Miss U 44.5
      1 @ MIN L 22-39 +1.5 Miss O 46.5
      Lions3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 5-0
      +24−24 Wk 1 vs NO: 31-30 · Miss NO Wk 2 @ BUF: 31-41 · Miss BUF Wk 3 vs NYJ: 31-24 · Push NYJ Wk 4 @ CAR: 26-32 · Miss CAR Wk 5 @ ARI: 45-21 · Cover ARI
      • Cover
      • Miss
      • Push
      WkOppScoreLineATSTotal
      5 @ ARI W 45-21 -5.5 Cover O 55.5
      4 @ CAR L 26-32 -4.5 Miss O 52.5
      3 vs NYJ W 31-24 -7 Push O 49.5
      2 @ BUF L 31-41 +5.5 Miss O 54.5
      1 vs NO W 31-30 -7 Miss O 49.5

      Head to head

      The last 8 meetings in the nflverse schedule (since 1999), newest first. Bars show the winning margin toward the winner's side.

      3Packers wins
      5Lions wins
      Packers ATS3-4-1
      Over / under4-4
      Since20228 meetings
      1. 2025Week 13 Packers 31@Lions 24 Packers +2.5CoverTotal 48.5Over
      2. 2025Week 1 Packers 27vsLions 13 Packers -1.5CoverTotal 48.5Under
      3. 2024Week 14 Packers 31@Lions 34 Packers +3PushTotal 53Over
      4. 2024Week 9 Packers 14vsLions 24 Packers +2.5MissTotal 47.5Under
      5. 2023Week 12 Packers 29@Lions 22 Packers +8.5CoverTotal 47Over
      6. 2023Week 4 Packers 20vsLions 34 Packers +2.5MissTotal 45Over
      7. 2022Week 18 Packers 16vsLions 20 Packers -5.5MissTotal 49Under
      8. 2022Week 9 Packers 9@Lions 15 Packers -4MissTotal 49.5Under

      Lineups

      Each offense against the other defense from the depth charts, and the official injury reports when they are out for this week.

      Lions defense · Base 4-3

      Packers offense · 11 personnel

      Packers defense · Base 3-4

      Lions offense · 11 personnel

      Depth charts as of Oct 22, 2026.

      Green Bay Packers

      No player with a game status.

      Detroit Lions

      No player with a game status.

      Moves & props

      DraftKings lines from the open (or the first line KarmaEdge tracked) to now, and this game's player prop lines.

      Moneyline · Packers 105.0142.0 +37
      Moneyline · Lions -125.0-170.0 -45
      Spread · Packers 1.53.0 +1.5
      Spread · Lions -1.5-3.0 -1.5
      Total · Over 50.553.5 +3
      Total · Under 50.553.5 +3
      • Jordan LoveQB · GB · Passing Yards 280.5 O -110 Fanatics
        U -114 Caesars
      • Jared GoffQB · DET · Passing Yards 278.5 O -113 Caesars
        U -114 FanDuel
      • Josh JacobsRB · GB · Rushing Yards 49.5 O -110 ESPN BET
        U -114 DraftKings
      • Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET · Rushing Yards 93.5 O -114 Caesars
        U -110 DraftKings
      • Jordan LoveQB · GB · Rushing Yards 7.5 O -114 FanDuel
        U -108 DraftKings
      • Sione VakiRB · DET · Rushing Yards 8.5 O -114 FanDuel
        U -113 Caesars
      • Jared GoffQB · DET · Rushing Yards 0.5 O -119 DraftKings
        U +102 FanDuel
      • MarShawn LloydRB · GB · Rushing Yards 10.5 O -105 DraftKings
        U -114 FanDuel

      All 41 prop lines for this game →

      KarmaEdge.AI is not a sportsbook and never accepts wagers. Lines move; each shows when it was read. Market-implied chances are the sportsbooks' no-vig prices, not a KarmaEdge projection. Results and closing lines are from the nflverse schedule. Research, not guarantees. 18+ and of legal age where you are. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.