NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Elic Ayomanor WR

TEN vs IND · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

15.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 26.0
Graph avg: 30.6
Graph median: 19.511–69
Over the close: 70%7/10

2026 per game

Targets2.4▼-3.2

Rec1.2▼-1.4

Rec Yds26.0▼-6.2

Rec TD0.2-0.0

Snaps35.0▼-14.2

Snap %59.8%▼-20.8

15.5

2025

14

Dec 07
17

Dec 14
58

Dec 21
37

Dec 28
50

Jan 04
2026

11

Sep 13
69

Sep 20
11

Sep 27
22

Oct 04
17

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 15.5

Home 73% 8/11 · avg 34.3
Away 70% 7/10 · avg 26.8
vs IND 100% 2/2 · avg 45.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 5.5 100% 10/10
O 10.5 100% 10/10
O 15.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 20.5 50% 5/10
O 25.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs IND

What IND allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds168.9#7
Receptions12.0#11
Targets18.9#10
Yds/Target8.9#6
Rec TD0.9#16

WRs vs IND · 2026

Each main WR who faced IND this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.2

Avg diff %-17%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	DK Metcalf	12	53.2	-77%
Oct 11	Roman Wilson	0	47.0	-100%
Oct 04	Stefon Diggs	35	45.0	-22%
Oct 04	Antonio Williams	21	33.5	-37%
Sep 27	Jaylin Noel	17	52.5	-68%
Sep 27	Xavier Hutchinson	51	45.0	+13%
Sep 20	Rashee Rice	83	53.5	+55%
Sep 20	Tyquan Thornton	86	44.3	+94%
Sep 13	Zay Flowers	150	85.0	+76%
Sep 13	Rashod Bateman	0	58.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%5.7 yds	2%16.8 yds	7%14.4 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	10%4.1 yds	40%4.4 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.6 yds#8	3%12.3 yds#24	10%12.0 yds#12
Short	28%6.1 yds#11	21%8.8 yds#4	32%5.9 yds#11

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%6.0 yds	5%19.5 yds	11%26.2 yds
Short	51%5.4 yds	11%3.0 yds	11%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Carnell Tate WR	5	7.4	37	26.7%
2	Wan'Dale Robinson WR	5	6.0	30	19.3%
3	Tyjae Spears RB	5	3.2	16	11.1%
4	Gunnar Helm TE	5	2.6	13	9.5%
5	Elic Ayomanor WR	5	2.4	12	9.2%
6	Tony Pollard RB	5	2.4	12	8.3%
7	Calvin Ridley WR	4	2.0	8	7.6%
8	Daniel Bellinger TE	5	1.4	7	4.9%
9	Chimere Dike WR	5	1.4	7	4.3%
10	Kylen Granson TE	1	1.0	1	2.9%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 15.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs HOU	17	Over	15.5	33 (52%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BAL	22	Over	19.5	40 (62%)
2026-09-27	3	@ NYG	11	Under	13.5	48 (80%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PHI	69	Over	9.5	28 (53%)
2026-09-13	1	vs NYJ	11	Under	9.5	26 (52%)
2026-01-04	18	@ JAX	50	Over	40.5	51 (94%)
2025-12-28	17	vs NO	37	Over	23.5	60 (81%)
2025-12-21	16	vs KC	58	Over	22.5	41 (56%)
2025-12-14	15	@ SF	17	Over	17.5	43 (81%)
2025-12-07	14	@ CLE	14	Under	14.5	53 (80%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 15.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 14m ago.