NFL Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Matthew Stafford QB

LAR vs ARI ·

1.5 Rush Yds O +112U -146
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 30%3/10 Odds imply 44.3% Over
Season avg
4.2
Graph avg
0.3
Graph median
0.0-4–4
Over the close
22%2/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds314.4â–²+32.2
Att43.2â–²+7.4
Cmp%64.4%â–²+0.9
Pass TD1.8â–¼-0.8
INT1.2â–²+0.8
Rush Yds4.2â–²+3.4
Snaps73.0â–²+6.4
Snap %96.8%â–¼-2.0
Matthew Stafford rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
1.5
  1. 2025
    4
  2. 0
  3. -4
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 2
  7. 3
  8. 2026
    -1
  9. -1
  10. 0
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 25% 5/20 · avg 1.2
  • Away 30% 7/23 · avg 2.5
  • vs ARI 50% 2/4 · avg 4.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 6.5 0% 0/10
  • O 11.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds258.8#4
  • Yds/Att8.3#3
  • Cmp%66.1%#10
  • Pass TD2.8#1
  • Pass Att31.0#25

QBs vs ARI · 2026

Each main QB who faced ARI this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.4
Avg diff %-31%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Jared Goff13.8-73%
Oct 04 Jameis Winston014.0-100%
Sep 27 Brock Purdy3423.5+45%
Sep 13 Justin Herbert2928.2+3%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.3 yds3%9.9 yds15%11.6 yds
Short23%6.7 yds18%7.9 yds33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%14.5 yds#53%14.6 yds#1710%12.2 yds#11
Short30%6.1 yds#1218%8.6 yds#531%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.3 yds3%9.9 yds15%11.6 yds
Short23%6.7 yds17%8.0 yds33%5.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · LA 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Puka Nacua WR315.04533.9%
2Davante Adams WR59.04522.6%
3Kyren Williams RB56.63314.6%
4Tyler Higbee TE46.22513.2%
5Terrance Ferguson TE34.01212.6%
6Konata Mumpfield WR43.5148.2%
7Colby Parkinson TE41.875.0%
8Blake Corum RB52.2114.6%
9Davis Allen TE51.894.2%
10Ronnie Rivers RB11.013.7%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-125vs BUF0Under0.582 (100%)
2026-09-212vs NYG-1Under0.562 (100%)
2026-09-101vs SF-1Under0.551 (84%)
2026-01-0418vs ARI3Over—72 (96%)
2025-12-1415vs DET2Over0.572 (100%)
2025-11-2312vs TB0Under0.556 (100%)
2025-11-1611vs SEA0Under0.551 (100%)
2025-11-029vs NO-4Under0.580 (100%)
2025-10-025vs SF0Under0.568 (100%)
2025-09-284vs IND4Over0.575 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.