NFL Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Ashton Jeanty RB

LV vs BUF ·

55.5 Rush Yds O -110U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 49.6% Over
Season avg
58.2
Graph avg
64.9
Graph median
59.07–138
Over the close
20%2/10
2026 per game
Carries17.6â–²+2.0
Rush Yds58.2â–²+0.8
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.3
Targets6.0â–²+1.7
Rec4.4â–²+1.2
Rec Yds43.0â–²+22.6
Snaps49.6â–²+4.2
Snap %71.8%â–¼-6.1
Ashton Jeanty rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 55.5.
55.5
  1. 2025
    138
  2. 75
  3. 42
  4. 7
  5. 50
  6. 30
  7. 60
  8. 87
  9. 2026
    102
  10. 58
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 55.5

  • Home 54% 6/11 · avg 62.9
  • Away 46% 5/11 · avg 52.2
  • vs BUF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 45.5 70% 7/10
  • O 50.5 60% 6/10
  • O 55.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 60.5 40% 4/10
  • O 65.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs BUF

What BUF allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds81.2#25
  • Yds/Carry3.9#21
  • Rush TD0.5#21
  • Targets7.6#1
  • Rec Yds43.2#2

RBs vs BUF · 2026

Each main RB who faced BUF this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-13.2
Avg diff %-4%
Beat their average60% (3/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 12 Kyren Williams4973.5-33%
Oct 04 Rhamondre Stevenson4745.0+4%
Sep 27 Omarion Hampton5653.8+4%
Sep 17 Jahmyr Gibbs52113.0-54%
Sep 13 Woody Marks4226.8+57%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%14.5 yds3%5.3 yds5%7.0 yds
Short30%5.6 yds19%7.0 yds35%5.8 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BUF defense

BUF defense: Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.5 yds#144%8.1 yds#329%9.2 yds#25
Short30%5.5 yds#2216%6.5 yds#2035%5.4 yds#16

Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep2%60.0 yds0% 0% 
Short39%6.3 yds33%5.2 yds26%3.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE311.33431.3%
2Ashton Jeanty RB56.03017.6%
3Tre Tucker WR55.62816.4%
4Michael Mayer TE55.02514.3%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR52.8148.0%
8Malik Benson WR51.685.0%
9Ian Thomas TE31.343.5%
10Deven Thompkins WR11.012.8%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 55.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs KC58Over59.556 (67%)
2026-09-131vs MIA102Over60.550 (74%)
2026-01-0418vs KC87Over95.560 (97%)
2025-12-2817vs NYG60Over73.548 (81%)
2025-12-0714vs DEN30Under30.535 (70%)
2025-11-2312vs CLE50Under45.564 (81%)
2025-11-1711vs DAL7Under10.544 (73%)
2025-11-029vs JAX42Under50.558 (91%)
2025-10-126vs TEN75Over85.548 (79%)
2025-09-284vs CHI138Over140.544 (85%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 49.5PrizePicks 55.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.