Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT vs TB ·
3.5 Receptions
O -119U -107
- Season avg
- 3.8
- Graph avg
- 2.3
- Graph median
- 2.00–5
- Over the close
- 20%2/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 3.5
- Home 32% 6/19 · avg 2.8
- Away 26% 5/19 · avg 2.6
- vs TB No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 1.5 80% 8/10
- O 2.5 40% 4/10
- O 3.5 Today 20% 2/10
- O 4.5 10% 1/10
- O 5.5 0% 0/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs TB
What TB allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds71.1#28
- Yds/Carry3.9#22
- Rush TD0.4#29
- Targets5.8#11
- Rec Yds35.7#9
RBs vs TB · 2026
Each main RB who faced TB this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 08 |
Javonte Williams | 2 | 3.8 | -47% |
| Oct 04 |
MarShawn Lloyd | 5 | 1.2 | +300% |
| Sep 27 |
Aaron Jones | 5 | 1.8 | +186% |
| Sep 20 |
Quinshon Judkins | 5 | 3.2 | +54% |
| Sep 13 |
Chase Brown | 5 | 4.8 | +5% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
PIT offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%7.0 yds | 4%15.5 yds | 9%5.6 yds |
| Short | 30%5.1 yds | 18%8.3 yds | 32%5.2 yds |
Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
TB defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%9.7 yds#20 | 5%12.7 yds#22 | 6%9.3 yds#24 |
| Short | 34%7.0 yds#4 | 16%7.7 yds#13 | 32%5.8 yds#12 |
Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 28%3.8 yds | 12%14.2 yds | 60%9.4 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · PIT 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DK Metcalf WR | 5 | 7.4 | 37 | 20.8% |
| 2 | Pat Freiermuth TE | 5 | 5.2 | 26 | 15.2% |
| 3 | Jaylen Warren RB | 5 | 5.2 | 26 | 15.1% |
| 4 | Germie Bernard WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 15.0% |
| 5 | Roman Wilson WR | 5 | 5.0 | 25 | 14.1% |
| 6 | Michael Pittman WR | 3 | 4.0 | 12 | 11.5% |
| 7 | Rico Dowdle RB | 2 | 3.5 | 7 | 9.5% |
| 8 | Darnell Washington TE | 5 | 3.2 | 16 | 9.3% |
| 9 | Ben Skowronek WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.7% |
| 10 | Robert Tonyan TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.2% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 3.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 4 | @ CLE | 3 | Under | 3.5 | 70 (97%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ NE | 2 | Under | 3.5 | 50 (71%) |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ CLE | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 21 (32%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ DET | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 36 (49%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ BAL | 3 | Under | 1.5 | 26 (50%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ CHI | 0 | Under | 2.5 | 36 (50%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ LAC | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 24 (46%) |
| 2025-10-16 | 7 | @ CIN | 4 | Over | 5.5 | 37 (65%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ NE | 5 | Over | 2.5 | 43 (80%) |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ NYJ | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 25 (45%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3.5Underdog 3.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.
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