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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Josh Downs WR

IND vs TEN ·

4.5 Receptions O -103U -124
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 20%2/10 Odds imply 47.8% Over
Season avg
4.0
Graph avg
3.8
Graph median
3.52–7
Over the close
56%5/9
2026 per game
Targets6.8â–²+1.3
Rec4.0â–²+0.4
Rec Yds49.8â–²+14.4
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Snaps52.2â–²+15.1
Snap %80.4%â–²+21.7
Under 4.5 in 2 straight
Josh Downs receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
4.5
  1. 2025
    2
  2. 4
  3. 6
  4. 2
  5. 4
  6. 3
  7. 4
  8. 2026
    7
  9. 3
  10. 3
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 44% 8/18 · avg 4.2
  • Away 35% 6/17 · avg 4.4
  • vs TEN 25% 1/4 · avg 3.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 80% 8/10
  • O 3.5 50% 5/10
  • O 4.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 5.5 20% 2/10
  • O 6.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs TEN

What TEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds166.2#9
  • Receptions12.2#9
  • Targets16.8#21
  • Yds/Target9.9#1
  • Rec TD1.0#11

WRs vs TEN · 2026

Each main WR who faced TEN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.0
Avg diff %-4%
Beat their average30% (3/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Nico Collins57.0-29%
Oct 11 Xavier Hutchinson43.0+33%
Oct 04 Zay Flowers86.0+33%
Oct 04 Rashod Bateman23.5-43%
Sep 27 Malik Nabers56.0-17%
Sep 27 Malachi Fields22.0+0%
Sep 20 DeVonta Smith104.5+122%
Sep 20 Makai Lemon13.5-71%
Sep 13 Garrett Wilson66.2-4%
Sep 13 Isaiah Williams12.5-60%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

IND offense

IND offense: Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%5.7 yds4%15.9 yds6%7.4 yds
Short33%5.1 yds17%7.1 yds32%4.9 yds

Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TEN defense

TEN defense: Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%11.5 yds#134%20.0 yds#69%15.3 yds#4
Short31%6.7 yds#716%9.8 yds#234%5.7 yds#14

Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep13%4.8 yds3%9.0 yds10%12.0 yds
Short26%4.2 yds18%8.8 yds31%7.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · IND 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of IND targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tyler Warren TE57.23621.5%
2Keenan Allen WR47.22921.0%
3Josh Downs WR56.83420.6%
4Ashton Dulin WR23.5712.1%
5Alec Pierce WR23.5712.0%
6Jonathan Taylor RB53.81911.8%
7Laquon Treadwell WR53.81911.1%
8Deion Burks WR31.343.8%
9Mo Alie-Cox TE21.533.8%
10Seth McGowan RB50.842.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ PIT3Under4.560 (85%)
2026-10-044@ WAS3Under6.551 (77%)
2026-09-202@ KC7Over4.554 (83%)
2026-01-0418@ HOU4Under—41 (63%)
2025-12-1415@ SEA3Under2.543 (72%)
2025-12-0714@ JAX4Under3.546 (66%)
2025-11-2312@ KC2Under3.522 (43%)
2025-11-029@ PIT6Over3.552 (67%)
2025-09-284@ LA4Under3.538 (62%)
2025-09-213@ TEN2Under4.529 (51%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.