NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Carnell Tate WR

TEN vs IND · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

4.5 Receptions O -111U -115

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs IND — Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg: 4.6
Graph avg: —

2026 per game

Targets7.4

Rec4.6

Rec Yds54.8

Rec TD0.0

Snaps47.8

Snap %82.2%

No games vs IND in this range.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 0% 0/3 · avg 2.7
Away 100% 2/2 · avg 7.5
vs IND No games

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs IND

What IND allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds168.9#7
Receptions12.0#11
Targets18.9#10
Yds/Target8.9#6
Rec TD0.9#16

WRs vs IND · 2026

Each main WR who faced IND this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-22%

Beat their average20% (2/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	DK Metcalf	3	4.0	-25%
Oct 11	Roman Wilson	0	3.5	-100%
Oct 04	Stefon Diggs	5	4.3	+15%
Oct 04	Antonio Williams	3	3.0	+0%
Sep 27	Xavier Hutchinson	3	3.2	-8%
Sep 27	Jaylin Noel	2	2.8	-27%
Sep 20	Rashee Rice	4	4.5	-11%
Sep 20	Xavier Worthy	5	3.0	+67%
Sep 13	Zay Flowers	5	7.0	-29%
Sep 13	Rashod Bateman	0	4.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%5.7 yds	2%16.8 yds	7%14.4 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	10%4.1 yds	40%4.4 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.6 yds#8	3%12.3 yds#24	10%12.0 yds#12
Short	28%6.1 yds#11	21%8.8 yds#4	32%5.9 yds#11

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 5 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	14%11.0 yds	3%0.0 yds	14%6.6 yds
Short	38%7.3 yds	14%6.4 yds	19%7.4 yds

Last 5 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Carnell Tate WR	5	7.4	37	26.7%
2	Wan'Dale Robinson WR	5	6.0	30	19.3%
3	Tyjae Spears RB	5	3.2	16	11.1%
4	Gunnar Helm TE	5	2.6	13	9.5%
5	Elic Ayomanor WR	5	2.4	12	9.2%
6	Tony Pollard RB	5	2.4	12	8.3%
7	Calvin Ridley WR	4	2.0	8	7.6%
8	Daniel Bellinger TE	5	1.4	7	4.9%
9	Chimere Dike WR	5	1.4	7	4.3%
10	Kylen Granson TE	1	1.0	1	2.9%

Game log · 0 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4.5Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.