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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Travis Kelce TE

KC vs LAC ·

4.5 Receptions O +101U -128
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 47.0% Over
Season avg
4.0
Graph avg
3.8
Graph median
3.01–9
Over the close
30%3/10
2026 per game
Targets5.5â–¼-0.9
Rec4.0â–¼-0.5
Rec Yds61.5â–²+11.4
Rec TD0.5â–²+0.2
Snaps52.0â–¼-1.1
Snap %79.5%â–¼-2.4
Under 4.5 in 2 straight
Travis Kelce receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
4.5
  1. 2025
    5
  2. 1
  3. 7
  4. 1
  5. 5
  6. 3
  7. 2026
    3
  8. 9
  9. 2
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 62% 13/21 · avg 5.4
  • Away 37% 7/19 · avg 4.6
  • vs LAC 75% 3/4 · avg 5.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 60% 6/10
  • O 3.5 40% 4/10
  • O 4.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 5.5 20% 2/10
  • O 6.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds46.4#20
  • Receptions4.1#28
  • Targets5.9#30
  • Yds/Target7.9#8
  • Rec TD0.2#26

TEs vs LAC · 2026

Each main TE who faced LAC this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.3
Avg diff %+4%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Evan Engram41.6+150%
Oct 04 AJ Barner12.8-64%
Sep 27 Dalton Kincaid23.5-43%
Sep 20 Michael Mayer34.5-33%
Sep 13 Trey McBride98.2+9%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

KC offense

KC offense: Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%13.9 yds5%10.5 yds8%12.4 yds
Short28%5.9 yds17%4.9 yds38%5.3 yds

Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%16.8 yds#13%12.0 yds#264%12.9 yds#9
Short33%6.1 yds#1017%6.6 yds#1934%5.8 yds#13

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%0.0 yds2%48.0 yds5%0.0 yds
Short24%7.4 yds26%5.7 yds38%8.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · KC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of KC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Rashee Rice WR35.71720.4%
2Xavier Worthy WR45.52218.7%
3Travis Kelce TE45.52217.3%
4Kenneth Walker III RB44.81914.9%
5Tyquan Thornton WR43.81512.9%
6Noah Gray TE42.087.6%
7Emmett Johnson RB41.254.1%
8Jalen Royals WR41.254.1%
9Cyrus Allen WR21.023.9%
10Jake Briningstool TE30.722.8%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ LV2Under4.550 (83%)
2026-09-273@ MIA2Under4.541 (79%)
2026-09-202vs IND9Over3.568 (85%)
2026-09-141vs DEN3Under4.549 (71%)
2026-01-0418@ LV3Under3.551 (80%)
2025-12-2517vs DEN5Over2.542 (98%)
2025-12-2116@ TEN1Under4.535 (78%)
2025-12-1415vs LAC7Over4.560 (98%)
2025-12-0714vs HOU1Under1.558 (91%)
2025-11-2713@ DAL5Over5.560 (91%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4.5Underdog 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.