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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Luther Burden III WR

CHI vs ATL ·

4.5 Receptions O +121U -154
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 20%2/10 Odds imply 42.7% Over
Season avg
4.6
Graph avg
3.6
Graph median
3.01–7
Over the close
40%4/10
2026 per game
Targets7.0â–²+2.6
Rec4.6â–²+1.5
Rec Yds53.2â–²+11.0
Rec TD0.2â–²+0.1
Snaps49.2â–²+20.1
Snap %64.8%â–²+23.0
Under 4.5 in 2 straight
Luther Burden III receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
4.5
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 3
  3. 3
  4. 6
  5. 3
  6. 3
  7. 3
  8. 2026
    3
  9. 7
  10. 4
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 17% 2/12 · avg 3.3
  • Away 20% 2/10 · avg 3.6
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 90% 9/10
  • O 3.5 30% 3/10
  • O 4.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 5.5 20% 2/10
  • O 6.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds169.4#6
  • Receptions13.1#5
  • Targets21.6#1
  • Yds/Target7.8#19
  • Rec TD1.1#6

WRs vs ATL · 2026

Each main WR who faced ATL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.0
Avg diff %+24%
Beat their average90% (9/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Zay Flowers86.0+33%
Oct 11 Rashod Bateman52.8+82%
Oct 05 Chris Olave87.8+3%
Oct 05 Devaughn Vele64.8+26%
Sep 24 Christian Watson74.8+47%
Sep 24 Matthew Golden54.8+5%
Sep 20 Tetairoa McMillan57.0-29%
Sep 20 Jalen Coker85.0+60%
Sep 13 DK Metcalf43.8+7%
Sep 13 Roman Wilson32.8+9%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%13.8 yds6%12.2 yds8%6.7 yds
Short22%5.8 yds24%6.7 yds32%5.6 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%8.8 yds#232%18.7 yds#810%11.2 yds#15
Short32%6.2 yds#915%5.8 yds#2630%4.8 yds#26

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%12.8 yds10%19.7 yds7%4.4 yds
Short26%7.7 yds20%7.1 yds30%6.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CHI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Luther Burden III WR57.03521.9%
2Kalif Raymond WR55.42717.7%
3Rome Odunze WR55.82917.5%
4Colston Loveland TE54.62314.2%
5D'Andre Swift RB53.2169.7%
6Roschon Johnson RB32.786.9%
7Cole Kmet TE51.895.9%
8Kyle Monangai RB41.254.4%
9Sam Roush TE41.254.0%
10Jahdae Walker WR21.023.2%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs NYJ4Under4.552 (56%)
2026-09-283vs PHI7Over3.544 (61%)
2026-09-202vs MIN3Under4.542 (57%)
2026-01-1820 (P)vs LA3Under2.543 (53%)
2026-01-1019 (P)vs GB3Under3.549 (63%)
2026-01-0418vs DET3Under4.534 (62%)
2025-12-1415vs CLE6Over2.526 (39%)
2025-11-2312vs PIT3Under3.533 (51%)
2025-11-0910vs NYG3Under1.533 (49%)
2025-10-197vs NO1Under1.519 (28%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.