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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

DeVonta Smith WR

PHI vs CAR ·

4.5 Receptions O -143U +112
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 50%5/10 Odds imply 55.5% Over
Season avg
6.3
Graph avg
5.3
Graph median
5.02–10
Over the close
56%5/9
2026 per game
Targets9.0â–²+2.1
Rec6.3â–²+1.6
Rec Yds78.3â–²+18.4
Rec TD0.3â–²+0.1
Snaps56.3â–²+3.3
Snap %94.3%â–²+9.5
Over 4.5 in 2 straight
DeVonta Smith receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
4.5
  1. 2025
    2
  2. 4
  3. 9
  4. 4
  5. 6
  6. 4
  7. 6
  8. 2
  9. 2026
    10
  10. 6
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 41% 9/22 · avg 5.0
  • Away 50% 8/16 · avg 4.9
  • vs CAR 0% 0/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 80% 8/10
  • O 3.5 80% 8/10
  • O 4.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 5.5 50% 5/10
  • O 6.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CAR

What CAR allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds148.4#13
  • Receptions12.3#8
  • Targets19.3#8
  • Yds/Target7.7#23
  • Rec TD0.6#27

WRs vs CAR · 2026

Each main WR who faced CAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.4
Avg diff %+16%
Beat their average62% (5/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Amon-Ra St. Brown87.2+10%
Oct 04 Jameson Williams63.0+100%
Sep 27 KC Concepcion24.0-50%
Sep 27 Denzel Boston23.5-43%
Sep 20 Drake London45.8-30%
Sep 20 Jahan Dotson21.5+33%
Sep 13 Luther Burden III54.5+11%
Sep 13 Kalif Raymond84.0+100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PHI offense

PHI offense: Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%6.4 yds2%14.2 yds10%12.5 yds
Short30%5.7 yds16%6.4 yds36%4.0 yds

Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CAR defense

CAR defense: Throws CAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%14.1 yds#65%12.2 yds#256%10.2 yds#20
Short28%4.9 yds#2924%8.5 yds#731%5.3 yds#19

Throws CAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%7.9 yds0% 12%14.2 yds
Short36%5.8 yds11%6.6 yds30%7.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PHI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DeVonta Smith WR39.02732.5%
2Dontayvion Wicks WR55.62819.5%
3Dallas Goedert TE35.31617.6%
4Makai Lemon WR54.42216.0%
5Dameon Pierce RB15.0513.5%
6Zach Ertz TE32.789.8%
7Darius Cooper WR52.6139.0%
8Saquon Barkley RB41.876.7%
9Will Shipley RB51.685.6%
10Johnny Mundt TE41.253.9%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-283@ CHI6Over5.550 (100%)
2026-09-202@ TEN10Over4.567 (88%)
2025-12-2817@ BUF2Under2.546 (85%)
2025-12-2016@ WAS6Over6.560 (86%)
2025-12-0814@ LAC4Under3.569 (97%)
2025-11-2312@ DAL6Over4.560 (95%)
2025-11-1010@ GB4Under—58 (92%)
2025-10-197@ MIN9Over4.544 (88%)
2025-10-096@ NYG4Under5.555 (96%)
2025-09-284@ TB2Under2.552 (91%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.