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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Jalen Nailor WR

LV vs BUF ·

2.5 Receptions O +121U -154
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 42.7% Over
Season avg
1.7
Graph avg
1.4
Graph median
1.00–3
Over the close
11%1/9
2026 per game
Targets3.7â–²+0.5
Rec1.7-0.0
Rec Yds17.3â–¼-8.8
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Snaps39.7â–²+1.3
Snap %59.0%â–¼-6.4
Under 2.5 in 2 straight
Jalen Nailor receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
2.5
  1. 2025
    0
  2. 0
  3. 3
  4. 3
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 3
  8. 2026
    3
  9. 1
  10. 1
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 62% 10/16 · avg 2.6
  • Away 20% 4/20 · avg 1.2
  • vs BUF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 60% 6/10
  • O 1.5 40% 4/10
  • O 2.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 3.5 0% 0/10
  • O 4.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs BUF

What BUF allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds149.1#12
  • Receptions12.6#6
  • Targets20.0#7
  • Yds/Target7.5#25
  • Rec TD1.3#4

WRs vs BUF · 2026

Each main WR who faced BUF this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.4
Avg diff %+29%
Beat their average50% (5/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 12 Puka Nacua177.0+143%
Oct 12 Davante Adams55.5-9%
Oct 04 Mack Hollins34.0-25%
Oct 04 DeMario Douglas22.8-27%
Sep 27 Ladd McConkey42.7+50%
Sep 27 Tre Harris62.2+167%
Sep 17 Amon-Ra St. Brown97.0+29%
Sep 17 Jameson Williams24.0-50%
Sep 13 Nico Collins76.0+17%
Sep 13 Xavier Hutchinson33.2-8%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%14.5 yds3%5.3 yds5%7.0 yds
Short30%5.6 yds19%7.0 yds35%5.8 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BUF defense

BUF defense: Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.5 yds#144%8.1 yds#329%9.2 yds#25
Short30%5.5 yds#2216%6.5 yds#2035%5.4 yds#16

Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%20.0 yds11%0.0 yds22%8.2 yds
Short15%5.0 yds15%11.0 yds33%5.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE311.33431.3%
2Ashton Jeanty RB56.03017.6%
3Tre Tucker WR55.62816.4%
4Michael Mayer TE55.02514.3%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR52.8148.0%
8Malik Benson WR51.685.0%
9Ian Thomas TE31.343.5%
10Deven Thompkins WR11.012.8%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 2.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-273@ NO1Under2.540 (57%)
2026-09-202@ LAC1Under2.538 (60%)
2026-09-131vs MIA3Over3.541 (60%)
2026-01-0418vs GB3Over3.550 (75%)
2025-12-2517vs DET0Under1.523 (43%)
2025-12-2116@ NYG0Under0.538 (62%)
2025-12-1415@ DAL3Over2.528 (51%)
2025-12-0714vs WAS3Over3.537 (58%)
2025-11-3013@ SEA0Under1.536 (69%)
2025-11-2312@ GB0Under—20 (45%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.