NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

George Pickens WR

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

69.5 Rec Yds O -120U -110

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 80%8/10 Odds imply 51.0% Over

Season avg: 71.0
Graph avg: 94.4
Graph median: 85.033–146
Over the close: 50%4/8

2026 per game

Targets8.2▲+0.1

Rec5.4▼-0.1

Rec Yds71.0▼-13.1

Rec TD0.2▼-0.3

Snaps54.8▼-2.1

Snap %83.8%▲+2.7

69.5

2025

134

Sep 28
82

Oct 19
79

Nov 03
146

Nov 23
88

Nov 27
33

Dec 14
130

Dec 21
2026

40

Sep 20
82

Sep 27
130

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 69.5

Home 61% 11/18 · avg 78.8
Away 53% 10/19 · avg 71.2
vs GB 100% 1/1 · avg 134.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 49.5 80% 8/10
O 59.5 80% 8/10
O 69.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 79.5 70% 7/10
O 89.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs GB

What GB allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds145.3#15
Receptions12.1#10
Targets18.1#14
Yds/Target8.0#17
Rec TD1.2#5

WRs vs GB · 2026

Each main WR who faced GB this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.3

Avg diff %-16%

Beat their average30% (3/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Rome Odunze	40	58.2	-31%
Oct 11	Kalif Raymond	6	55.0	-89%
Oct 04	Emeka Egbuka	13	44.8	-71%
Oct 04	Chris Godwin Jr.	31	37.0	-16%
Sep 24	Drake London	194	73.5	+164%
Sep 24	Jahan Dotson	11	34.5	-68%
Sep 20	Garrett Wilson	57	79.2	-28%
Sep 20	Isaiah Williams	34	29.2	+16%
Sep 13	Justin Jefferson	92	55.3	+66%
Sep 13	Jordan Addison	0	54.3	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%13.2 yds	3%37.0 yds	4%0.0 yds
Short	38%8.8 yds	8%8.8 yds	36%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 69.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	130	Over	64.5	53 (88%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	82	Over	64.5	63 (85%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	40	Under	65.5	42 (76%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	130	Over	139.5	51 (88%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	33	Under	44.5	60 (86%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	88	Over	80.5	53 (74%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	146	Over	130.5	58 (78%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	79	Over	—	61 (91%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	82	Over	92.5	56 (84%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	134	Over	—	62 (90%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 67.5Underdog 69.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 7m ago.