NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Davante Adams WR

LAR vs ARI · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

58.5 Rec Yds O -114U -110

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%5/10 Odds imply 50.4% Over

Season avg: 88.2
Graph avg: 66.1
Graph median: 58.01–195
Over the close: 14%1/7

2026 per game

Targets9.0▲+0.8

Rec5.4▲+1.2

Rec Yds88.2▲+30.9

Rec TD0.8▼-0.1

Snaps56.8▲+10.4

Snap %74.0%▲+2.8

58.5

2025

51

Sep 07
56

Sep 28
88

Oct 02
60

Nov 02
1

Nov 16
62

Nov 23
71

Dec 14
2026

26

Sep 10
195

Sep 21
51

Oct 12
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 58.5

Home 62% 10/16 · avg 67.9
Away 45% 9/20 · avg 69.6
vs ARI 0% 0/2 · avg 30.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 48.5 80% 8/10
O 53.5 60% 6/10
O 58.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 63.5 30% 3/10
O 68.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds141.7#17
Receptions9.7#28
Targets15.5#30
Yds/Target9.1#5
Rec TD1.7#1

WRs vs ARI · 2026

Each main WR who faced ARI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+7.1

Avg diff %+16%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Amon-Ra St. Brown	69	75.8	-9%
Oct 11	Jameson Williams	47	57.2	-18%
Oct 04	Malik Nabers	112	54.2	+106%
Oct 04	Darnell Mooney	0	27.2	-100%
Sep 27	Mike Evans	34	73.0	-53%
Sep 27	Deebo Samuel Sr.	80	31.5	+154%
Sep 20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	155	112.4	+38%
Sep 20	Cooper Kupp	20	31.8	-37%
Sep 13	Tre Harris	20	51.2	-61%
Sep 13	Ladd McConkey	82	33.7	+144%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.3 yds	3%9.9 yds	15%11.6 yds
Short	23%6.7 yds	18%7.9 yds	33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.5 yds#5	3%14.6 yds#17	10%12.2 yds#11
Short	30%6.1 yds#12	18%8.6 yds#5	31%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	22%6.2 yds	6%8.8 yds	12%14.2 yds
Short	25%9.0 yds	18%10.9 yds	18%4.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Puka Nacua WR	3	15.0	45	33.9%
2	Davante Adams WR	5	9.0	45	22.6%
3	Kyren Williams RB	5	6.6	33	14.6%
4	Tyler Higbee TE	4	6.2	25	13.2%
5	Terrance Ferguson TE	3	4.0	12	12.6%
6	Konata Mumpfield WR	4	3.5	14	8.2%
7	Colby Parkinson TE	4	1.8	7	5.0%
8	Blake Corum RB	5	2.2	11	4.6%
9	Davis Allen TE	5	1.8	9	4.2%
10	Ronnie Rivers RB	1	1.0	1	3.7%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 58.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-12	5	vs BUF	51	Under	62.5	60 (73%)
2026-09-21	2	vs NYG	195	Over	64.5	40 (65%)
2026-09-10	1	vs SF	26	Under	52.5	33 (54%)
2025-12-14	15	vs DET	71	Over	76.5	33 (46%)
2025-11-23	12	vs TB	62	Over	62.5	43 (77%)
2025-11-16	11	vs SEA	1	Under	10.5	44 (86%)
2025-11-02	9	vs NO	60	Over	60.5	48 (60%)
2025-10-02	5	vs SF	88	Over	—	58 (85%)
2025-09-28	4	vs IND	56	Under	—	62 (83%)
2025-09-07	1	vs HOU	51	Under	—	54 (90%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 58.5Underdog 59.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.