NFL Prop Research

MN

Malik Nabers WR

NYG vs NO · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

72.5 Rec Yds O -110U -114

BookBetMGM · 72.5DraftKings · 72.5Bally Bet · 72.5Caesars · 71.5FanDuel · 71.5Fanatics · 70.5ESPN BET · 69.5

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 40%4/10 Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg

65.8

Graph avg

69.5

Graph median

66.513–171

Over the close

40%2/5

2026 per game

Targets9.2▲+0.4

Rec5.8▲+1.3

Rec Yds65.8▼-2.0

Rec TD0.4▼-0.1

Snaps52.0▼-2.0

Snap %74.0%▼-5.5

Splits all logged games · over 72.5

• Home 38% 5/13 · avg 70.5
• Away 36% 4/11 · avg 80.6
• vs NO 100% 1/1 · avg 79.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 52.5 70% 7/10
• O 62.5 60% 6/10
• O 72.5 Today 40% 4/10
• O 82.5 20% 2/10
• O 92.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NO

What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds121.9#27
• Receptions9.8#26
• Targets16.4#26
• Yds/Target7.4#26
• Rec TD0.9#13

WRs vs NO · 2026

Each main WR who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.8

Avg diff %+36%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	MIN Justin Jefferson	79	59.7	+32%
Oct 11	MIN Tai Felton	27	7.0	+286%
Oct 05	ATL Drake London	96	98.0	-2%
Oct 05	ATL Jahan Dotson	54	23.8	+127%
Sep 27	LV Tre Tucker	43	57.8	-26%
Sep 27	LV Cody White	4	26.0	-85%
Sep 20	BAL Rashod Bateman	88	36.2	+143%
Sep 20	BAL Chris Moore	6	28.5	-79%
Sep 13	DET Amon-Ra St. Brown	67	76.2	-12%
Sep 13	DET Jameson Williams	45	57.8	-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%10.9 yds	8%6.3 yds
Short	33%5.8 yds	22%6.1 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.7 yds#21	2%15.0 yds#16	8%11.9 yds#13
Short	32%6.6 yds#8	12%5.9 yds#25	38%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 9 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	14%12.9 yds	7%11.7 yds	15%7.2 yds
Short	32%5.4 yds	9%7.9 yds	24%5.5 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYG 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	5	9.6	48	29.8%
2	Malik Nabers WR	5	9.2	46	26.9%
3	Malachi Fields WR	5	3.4	17	11.3%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	5	3.4	17	10.2%
5	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
6	Cam Skattebo RB	5	2.4	12	8.2%
7	Theo Johnson TE	4	2.2	9	6.3%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB	5	0.6	3	1.2%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 72.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	112	Over	54.5	51 (76%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	26	Under	52.5	50 (78%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	69	Under	55.5	36 (52%)
2025-09-28	4	vs LAC	20	Under	60.5	25 (33%)
2025-09-21	3	vs KC	13	Under	15.5	61 (92%)
2024-12-29	17	vs IND	171	Over	—	47 (84%)
2024-12-15	15	vs BAL	82	Over	—	64 (94%)
2024-12-08	14	vs NO	79	Over	—	73 (94%)
2024-11-24	12	vs TB	64	Under	—	55 (93%)
2024-11-03	9	vs WAS	59	Under	—	62 (95%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 69.5PrizePicks 72.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.