NFL Prop Research

JJ

Jerry Jeudy WR

CLE vs BAL · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

16.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 80%8/10 Odds imply —

Season avg

20.2

Graph avg

28.8

Graph median

24.00–76

Over the close

50%5/10

2026 per game

Targets3.8▼-2.5

Rec2.0▼-0.9

Rec Yds20.2▼-15.2

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps36.2▼-17.9

Snap %60.2%▼-24.3

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

• Home 89% 16/18 · avg 47.2
• Away 85% 17/20 · avg 53.1
• vs BAL 100% 4/4 · avg 53.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 6.5 90% 9/10
• O 11.5 90% 9/10
• O 16.5 Today 80% 8/10
• O 21.5 60% 6/10
• O 26.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs BAL

What BAL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds195.0#1
• Receptions13.9#1
• Targets20.9#4
• Yds/Target9.3#4
• Rec TD0.5#28

WRs vs BAL · 2026

Each main WR who faced BAL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+11.0

Avg diff %+37%

Beat their average60% (6/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	ATL Drake London	118	92.5	+28%
Oct 11	ATL Jahan Dotson	54	23.8	+127%
Oct 04	TEN Wan'Dale Robinson	19	39.2	-52%
Oct 04	TEN Carnell Tate	145	32.2	+350%
Sep 27	DAL CeeDee Lamb	112	98.8	+13%
Sep 27	DAL George Pickens	82	68.2	+20%
Sep 20	NO Chris Olave	86	112.8	-24%
Sep 20	NO Devaughn Vele	64	47.0	+36%
Sep 13	IND Josh Downs	37	53.0	-30%
Sep 13	IND Laquon Treadwell	0	39.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CLE offense

CLE offense: Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%10.9 yds	6%13.1 yds	5%10.6 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	18%7.6 yds	32%5.2 yds

Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BAL defense

BAL defense: Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%16.0 yds#3	5%14.3 yds#19	7%17.7 yds#3
Short	31%5.8 yds#16	16%5.8 yds#27	35%5.2 yds#21

Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%0.0 yds	11%15.4 yds	7%0.0 yds
Short	42%5.7 yds	13%6.3 yds	20%7.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CLE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CLE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KC Concepcion WR	5	5.8	29	20.0%
2	Denzel Boston WR	5	5.8	29	19.6%
3	Harold Fannin Jr. TE	5	5.4	27	18.3%
4	Quinshon Judkins RB	5	4.0	20	13.2%
5	Jerry Jeudy WR	4	3.8	15	13.1%
6	Isaiah Bond WR	3	3.0	9	9.4%
7	Raheim Sanders RB	5	2.4	12	8.6%
8	Blake Whiteheart TE	3	1.0	3	3.7%
9	Jaleel McLaughlin RB	3	0.7	2	2.2%
10	Michael Burton FB	2	0.5	1	1.7%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 16.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ NYJ	19	Over	12.5	55 (81%)
2026-10-01	4	vs PIT	36	Over	14.5	24 (38%)
2026-09-20	2	@ TB	0	Under	29.5	34 (59%)
2026-09-13	1	@ JAX	26	Over	29.5	32 (63%)
2026-01-04	18	@ CIN	17	Over	6.5	46 (88%)
2025-12-28	17	vs PIT	54	Over	29.5	49 (94%)
2025-12-21	16	vs BUF	12	Under	12.5	48 (73%)
2025-12-14	15	@ CHI	22	Over	37.5	55 (96%)
2025-12-07	14	vs TEN	76	Over	76.5	61 (88%)
2025-11-30	13	vs SF	26	Over	15.5	53 (84%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 16.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 8m ago.