NFL Prop Research

CR

Calvin Ridley WR

TEN vs IND · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

12.5 Rec Yds O -115U -109

BookCaesars · 12.5BetMGM · 12.5FanDuel · 12.5DraftKings · 12.5ESPN BET · 11.5Fanatics · 10.5

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 100%10/10 Odds imply 50.6% Over

Season avg

20.2

Graph avg

47.2

Graph median

49.013–76

Over the close

40%2/5

2026 per game

Targets2.0▼-3.1

Rec1.2▼-1.2

Rec Yds20.2▼-23.0

Rec TD0.0+0.0

Snaps29.5▼-6.2

Snap %49.5%▼-7.6

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

• Home 85% 11/13 · avg 42.9
• Away 87% 13/15 · avg 56.2
• vs IND 67% 2/3 · avg 35.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 100% 10/10
• O 7.5 100% 10/10
• O 12.5 Today 100% 10/10
• O 17.5 90% 9/10
• O 22.5 90% 9/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs IND

What IND allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds168.9#7
• Receptions12.0#11
• Targets18.9#10
• Yds/Target8.9#6
• Rec TD0.9#16

WRs vs IND · 2026

Each main WR who faced IND this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.2

Avg diff %-17%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	PIT DK Metcalf	12	53.2	-77%
Oct 11	PIT Roman Wilson	0	47.0	-100%
Oct 04	WAS Stefon Diggs	35	45.0	-22%
Oct 04	WAS Antonio Williams	21	33.5	-37%
Sep 27	HOU Jaylin Noel	17	52.5	-68%
Sep 27	HOU Xavier Hutchinson	51	45.0	+13%
Sep 20	KC Rashee Rice	83	53.5	+55%
Sep 20	KC Tyquan Thornton	86	44.3	+94%
Sep 13	BAL Zay Flowers	150	85.0	+76%
Sep 13	BAL Rashod Bateman	0	58.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%5.7 yds	2%16.8 yds	7%14.4 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	10%4.1 yds	40%4.4 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.6 yds#8	3%12.3 yds#24	10%12.0 yds#12
Short	28%6.1 yds#11	21%8.8 yds#4	32%5.9 yds#11

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%12.5 yds	3%47.0 yds	17%15.0 yds
Short	36%7.4 yds	8%15.0 yds	31%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · TEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Carnell Tate WR	5	7.4	37	26.7%
2	Wan'Dale Robinson WR	5	6.0	30	19.3%
3	Tyjae Spears RB	5	3.2	16	11.1%
4	Gunnar Helm TE	5	2.6	13	9.5%
5	Elic Ayomanor WR	5	2.4	12	9.2%
6	Tony Pollard RB	5	2.4	12	8.3%
7	Calvin Ridley WR	4	2.0	8	7.6%
8	Daniel Bellinger TE	5	1.4	7	4.9%
9	Chimere Dike WR	5	1.4	7	4.3%
10	Kylen Granson TE	1	1.0	1	2.9%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 12.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs HOU	33	Over	6.5	35 (56%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PHI	35	Over	17.5	33 (62%)
2025-11-16	11	vs HOU	13	Over	32.5	1 (2%)
2025-09-21	3	vs IND	27	Over	50.5	61 (87%)
2025-09-14	2	vs LA	57	Over	58.5	57 (86%)
2025-01-05	18	vs HOU	76	Over	—	33 (53%)
2024-12-15	15	vs CIN	41	Over	—	51 (73%)
2024-12-08	14	vs JAX	59	Over	—	53 (83%)
2024-11-17	11	vs MIN	58	Over	—	52 (88%)
2024-11-03	9	vs NE	73	Over	—	72 (94%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.