NFL Prop Research

DV

Devaughn Vele WR

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

43.5 Rec Yds O -112U -112

BookESPN BET · 43.5DraftKings · 43.5Bally Bet · 43.5Caesars · 42.5FanDuel · 41.5BetMGM · 45.5Fanatics · 40.5

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 30%3/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg

50.4

Graph avg

31.4

Graph median

31.53–69

Over the close

50%3/6

2026 per game

Targets7.4▲+3.1

Rec5.0▲+2.2

Rec Yds50.4▲+17.8

Rec TD0.4▲+0.2

Snaps64.2▲+21.1

Snap %92.0%▲+30.0

Splits all logged games · over 43.5

• Home 33% 5/15 · avg 33.5
• Away 31% 4/13 · avg 39.8
• vs NYG 0% 0/1 · avg 13.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 33.5 50% 5/10
• O 38.5 40% 4/10
• O 43.5 Today 30% 3/10
• O 48.5 30% 3/10
• O 53.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds127.3#25
• Receptions10.3#23
• Targets16.5#25
• Yds/Target7.7#21
• Rec TD0.9#15

WRs vs NYG · 2026

Each main WR who faced NYG this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+6.7

Avg diff %+20%

Beat their average50% (5/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	WAS Terry McLaurin	62	47.0	+32%
Oct 11	WAS Antonio Williams	31	31.0	+0%
Oct 04	ARI Michael Wilson	95	48.2	+97%
Oct 04	ARI Marvin Harrison Jr.	12	24.3	-51%
Sep 27	TEN Carnell Tate	58	54.0	+7%
Sep 27	TEN Wan'Dale Robinson	57	29.8	+92%
Sep 21	LA Davante Adams	195	61.5	+217%
Sep 21	LA Konata Mumpfield	12	33.3	-64%
Sep 13	DAL CeeDee Lamb	44	115.8	-62%
Sep 13	DAL George Pickens	28	81.8	-66%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%4.9 yds	4%15.3 yds	8%9.6 yds
Short	35%6.0 yds	18%10.2 yds	24%7.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NO 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 43.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	26	Under	40.5	43 (96%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	54	Over	45.5	66 (89%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	39	Under	48.5	65 (88%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CAR	69	Over	35.5	38 (55%)
2025-11-23	12	vs ATL	37	Under	26.5	71 (89%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TB	10	Under	10.5	37 (51%)
2025-10-05	5	vs NYG	13	Under	—	25 (38%)
2025-09-14	2	vs SF	3	Under	—	24 (34%)
2025-09-07	1	vs ARI	13	Under	—	17 (23%)
2025-01-05	18	vs KC	50	Over	—	38 (51%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 43.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.