NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Darnell Mooney WR

NYG vs NO · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

19.5 Rec Yds O -112U -112

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 21.8
Graph avg: 25.0
Graph median: 20.00–82
Over the close: 33%3/9

2026 per game

Targets3.4▼-1.4

Rec1.6▼-0.5

Rec Yds21.8▼-7.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps40.8▼-11.1

Snap %58.6%▼-23.3

19.5

2024

82

Dec 22
2025

15

Sep 28
11

Oct 26
34

Nov 16
6

Dec 07
35

Dec 29
20

Jan 04
2026

27

Sep 13
20

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

Home 71% 12/17 · avg 38.0
Away 79% 15/19 · avg 47.3
vs NO 100% 4/4 · avg 61.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 80% 8/10
O 14.5 70% 7/10
O 19.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 24.5 40% 4/10
O 29.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NO

What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds121.9#27
Receptions9.8#26
Targets16.4#26
Yds/Target7.4#26
Rec TD0.9#13

WRs vs NO · 2026

Each main WR who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.8

Avg diff %+36%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Justin Jefferson	79	59.7	+32%
Oct 11	Tai Felton	27	7.0	+286%
Oct 05	Drake London	96	98.0	-2%
Oct 05	Jahan Dotson	54	23.8	+127%
Sep 27	Tre Tucker	43	57.8	-26%
Sep 27	Cody White	4	26.0	-85%
Sep 20	Rashod Bateman	88	36.2	+143%
Sep 20	Chris Moore	6	28.5	-79%
Sep 13	Amon-Ra St. Brown	67	76.2	-12%
Sep 13	Jameson Williams	45	57.8	-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%10.9 yds	8%6.3 yds
Short	33%5.8 yds	22%6.1 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.7 yds#21	2%15.0 yds#16	8%11.9 yds#13
Short	32%6.6 yds#8	12%5.9 yds#25	38%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	18%10.3 yds	8%0.0 yds	10%4.5 yds
Short	33%5.2 yds	13%6.2 yds	18%5.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	5	9.6	48	29.8%
2	Malik Nabers WR	5	9.2	46	26.9%
3	Malachi Fields WR	5	3.4	17	11.3%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	5	3.4	17	10.2%
5	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
6	Cam Skattebo RB	5	2.4	12	8.2%
7	Theo Johnson TE	4	2.2	9	6.3%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB	5	0.6	3	1.2%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 19.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	0	Under	20.5	37 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	20	Over	17.5	28 (44%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	27	Over	20.5	39 (57%)
2026-01-04	18	vs NO	20	Over	20.5	52 (83%)
2025-12-29	17	vs LA	35	Over	35.5	37 (70%)
2025-12-07	14	vs SEA	6	Under	42.5	49 (77%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CAR	34	Over	33.5	61 (92%)
2025-10-26	8	vs MIA	11	Under	56.5	45 (90%)
2025-09-28	4	vs WAS	15	Under	29.5	29 (45%)
2024-12-22	16	vs NYG	82	Over	—	60 (90%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.